Fifa International · resolved market
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4494e9643df02fd76cfa7d19ae9326866241145da476d9898c234695f86c84b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,461
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,461 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 39c | 1,131$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.25 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…12a5backed Under | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 61c | 782.74$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.4 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 38c | 780.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.24 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6f…f8e8backed Under | 63c | 484.8$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.71 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 58c | 419.98$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.39 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 62c | 396.31$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.91 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…ff8cbacked Under | 62c | 297.31$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.33 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 60c | 293.91$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.49 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 39c | 259.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.03 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 62c | 202.09$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.33 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 40c | 188$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.7 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 63c | 180.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 42c | 146.06$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.06 | 224 | 66.1%148 W · 76 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 61c | 99.02$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.01 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Over | 37c | 94.57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f2…f86fbacked Over | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.92 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a269backed Over | 37c | 75.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9c15backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 60c | 72$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Over | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Under | 60c | 66.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 63.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 59c | 61.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.41 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Under | 59c | 59.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa614…8aacbacked Over | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…cb67backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed Over | 34c | 49.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.99 | 399 | 51.6%206 W · 193 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 63c | 45.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.91 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8812…c41abacked Under | 58c | 33.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 452 | 54.6%247 W · 205 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 57c | 33.37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e5…0947backed Over | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 149 | 53.7%80 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe2…d350backed Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 514 | 58.8%302 W · 212 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 6.5 CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 11.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Take First CornerCanada won
- Canada vs. Morocco: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.