TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Canada vs. Morocco: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,639
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,116

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,639 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99d7…6435backed Under47c1,632$762 inLost-$762.1685851.2%439 W · 419 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over53c561.6$297 inWon+$264.581,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…c850backed Over54c556.48$300 inWon+$256.4830140.5%122 W · 179 L+1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef88…d62cbacked Under46c501.48$231 inLost-$230.683363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed Over53c500$265 inWon+$2359446.8%44 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf348…e543backed Over50c486.48$243 inWon+$243.2440163.3%254 W · 147 L+57.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xfb11…7901backed Over50c332.07$166 inWon+$166.046759.7%40 W · 27 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+36.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c135.38$65 inLost-$64.982,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked Over51c100$51 inWon+$498256.1%46 W · 36 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+40.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1de9…9499backed Over52c96.15$50 inWon+$46.156437.5%24 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over53c94$50 inWon+$44.183,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under45c61.47$28 inLost-$27.692,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf88…3ed6backed Over51c60$31 inWon+$29.43650%18 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b50…c5f9backed Over51c58.82$30 inWon+$28.826653%35 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b0e…4a25backed Over51c49.02$25 inWon+$24.026457.8%37 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x61ec…4133backed Over55c45.45$25 inWon+$20.454759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1853…6c81backed Over51c32.77$17 inWon+$16.0610553.3%56 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80fc…d9ecbacked Under47c30$14 inLost-$14.12927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-28.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb957…549cbacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon+$14.413557.1%20 W · 15 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd687…a024backed Over53c28.13$15 inWon+$13.225644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed Over50c24.01$12 inWon+$11.941,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over52c22.07$12 inWon+$10.558,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over65c18.57$12 inWon+$6.5951859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.