TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb176…fcb2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 56 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lamine Yamal: 3+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+120.1%+$90.07
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+50.9%+$254.72
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$90.49
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+200.8%+$100.38
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Norway vs. England: Norway O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$159.38
Argentina vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.59
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: England O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Brazil vs. Norway: Norway O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+91%+$91.05
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+170.2%+$59.57
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$123.98
Australia vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+101.3%+$106.4
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$189.71
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
IFK Goteborg vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$52.04
Spread: SC Heerenveen (-1.5)backed SC Heerenveen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Lyngby BK vs. FC Midtjylland: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Sarpsborg 08 FF win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: IK Sirius (-1.5)backed IK Sirius · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$106.21
Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$221.76
Will Rosenborg BK win on 2026-07-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)backed Viking FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Fredrikstad FK: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+102.8%+$51.4
Mjallby AIF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Vasteraas SK vs. Degerfors IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)backed BK Hacken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$58.94
All 16 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. SK Rapid Wien: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$58.93
FC Inter Turku vs. FC København: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Rangers FC vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+86%+$64.54
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)backed Sport Lisboa e Benfica · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Will FC København win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
Helsingin JK vs. Motherwell FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+67%+$50.25
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Páfos FC win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Will FC København win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$54.31
Will FC Lugano win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.12
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+150%+$112.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will Harrogate Town AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will AFC Fylde win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Los Angeles Angels vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.85
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$46.85
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)backed Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Soxbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+63%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabah FK vs. MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva: Team to Advancebacked Sabah FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$283.33
Celtic FC vs. LASK Linz: LASK Linz O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Sabah FK win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.12
Spread: Aarhus GF (-1.5)backed Aarhus GF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+79.4%+$59.53
Qairat FK vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías: Qairat FK O/U 5.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$37.72
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
All 11 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: Southampton FC (-1.5)backed Southampton FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$88.89
Spread: West Ham United FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Watford FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$58.93
Middlesbrough FC vs. Lincoln City FC: Lincoln City FC O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Blackburn Rovers FC O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$69.23
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: Wolverhampton Wanderers FC O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.12
Middlesbrough FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 9.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+86.5%+$86.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Tōkyō (-1.5)backed FC Tōkyō · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+115.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Holstein Kiel vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$144.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$42.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jannik Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New England Revolution win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.