La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19643fdd5addbfd4c5b9b8d9164d1af830e7cf8a633aa9008e11fc98dab75410
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 54c | 5,129$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,789.65 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 4,380$2,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.05 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ef…1576backed No | 55c | 1,385$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.75 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 61c | 792.2$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.92 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 44c | 787.26$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.68 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 47c | 785.52$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.61 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Yes | 35c | 615$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Yes | 66c | 608.82$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.96 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 45c | 594$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.74 | 440 | 39.3%173 W · 267 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed No | 59c | 513.5$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b5…fe36backed Yes | 46c | 501.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed No | 56c | 499.97$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.98 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 44c | 471.45$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.16 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 45c | 393.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.73 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 320.9$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.01 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed No | 34c | 304.93$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.11 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 38c | 224.74$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.01 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…a5fbbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4c…548cbacked Yes | 49c | 204.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked No | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 54c | 133.85$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 417 | 51.8%216 W · 201 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 131$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d54…d454backed Yes | 44c | 122.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…6b8fbacked Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb176…fcb2backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked No | 61c | 112.42$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…3773backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b25…edc5backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 54c | 109.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e0…c861backed Yes | 45c | 107.38$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes | 44c | 104.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 47c | 101.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.1 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5005…08afbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 163 | 42.3%69 W · 94 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 52c | 99.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 24c | 94.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed No | 55c | 90.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 50c | 84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a46…c6a0backed Yes | 47c | 79.74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 35c | 72.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 55c | 72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 44c | 65.91$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.91 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 43c | 64.06$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.51 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed No | 54c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 47c | 59.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 39c | 56.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73fb…c7afbacked Yes | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e2…af02backed Yes | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Yes | 36c | 42.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf3…2286backed Yes | 44c | 42.32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked No | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 63c | 38.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…770ebacked Yes | 44c | 38.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.29 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 63c | 37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 44c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.13 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…561dbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8613…2f76backed Yes | 44c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3a…e85dbacked Yes | 44c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +46%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 44c | 30.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Yes | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 45c | 28.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…1f57backed Yes | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +70%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5de3…3ad2backed Yes | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Yes | 47c | 24.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 46c | 24.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.24 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 57c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.