TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$49,654
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,217

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,654 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c10,795$6,917 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,878.643,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under31c10,506$3,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2212634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x425b…18f1backed Over44c5,199$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.7540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c4,600$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,30020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under55c3,707$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.1260732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under53c3,517$1,879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,879.0398833.4%330 W · 658 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under54c3,071$1,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,661.0582844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Over40c3,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,800.041968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe020…f39bbacked Over44c2,211$973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.06425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c1,751$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$972.361,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked Under59c1,531$903 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c1,521$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.954,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over42c1,510$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.812050%60 W · 60 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Under57c1,193$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.5419133%63 W · 128 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over45c1,020$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.3343439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56075051.3%385 W · 365 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58011723.1%27 W · 90 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Over57c690.14$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.394452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Under30c644.93$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.935345.3%24 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under56c584.2$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.8411849.2%58 W · 60 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over41c487.8$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.83452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+24.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over57c419.85$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.5721831.7%69 W · 149 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked Over45c398.52$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.48875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+126%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4cf…2224backed Under59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick57cpaid-74.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over59c333.38$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.6914951%76 W · 73 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3a0…b873backed Under45c311.11$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed Over70c301.05$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.32922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-64.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Under52c300$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1551457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Over43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5613051.5%67 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over56c217.75$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.9739338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c212.69$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3361557.7%355 W · 260 L+41.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd121…7138backed Over48c210.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.381643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick33cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over43c175.39$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9769350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under44c164.76$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.493450%17 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under58c163.49$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8256439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over43c155.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.422339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…6ca8backed Over69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over41c122.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.278950.6%45 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x407c…4ba3backed Over43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.281650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8db…7c68backed Under35c110.8$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.121625%4 W · 12 L-3.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-56.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Under57c103.5$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.842240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Under60c101.94$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.172236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over42c100.9$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.523548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c9…ccbabacked Over55c100.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Over39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616953.6%37 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Under58c100$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5816142.2%68 W · 93 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under62c98$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8420252%105 W · 97 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Over63c97.26$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.781936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-34.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1d2…c938backed Over57c96.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over57c93$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8314942.3%63 W · 86 L-9.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under42c90.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0911242.9%48 W · 64 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over53c84.48$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3541351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.6wins-0.37per pick65cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over38c80$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.642158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Over38c78.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.951838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7af1…92cbbacked Under41c74.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over61c70.45$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.744663%29 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x25e6…74a9backed Under58c65.52$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381850%9 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b43…fae9backed Over45c63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.652638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under56c60$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.68447.6%40 W · 44 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c20…2256backed Under56c54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.24475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+42.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Under59c51.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.242864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c50.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8463757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f5…f087backed Over42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+98%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c43.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.981,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under56c42.62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.011560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd7…9c01backed Over45c40.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.281127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-44.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c40.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.171,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209947.5%47 W · 52 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over50c39.06$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7110251%52 W · 50 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb797…1cf3backed Under57c38.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Under49c38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.742254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over43c35.05$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.877642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Over39c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Over40c34.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a3a…e85dbacked Over42c34.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.23862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+37.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Over42c34.35$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.79850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over39c31.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0313243.2%57 W · 75 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under58c30.53$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7168050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under58c30.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155259.6%31 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Under58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x00ba…b677backed Under58c29.26$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under47c27.13$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7528446.5%132 W · 152 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over56c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.899946.5%46 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under58c24$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.921,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Under50c20.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3610055%55 W · 45 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x403c…7f06backed Under58c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66267.7%42 W · 20 L+6.8wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x77cd…c3cdbacked Under60c18.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.