La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8e912c8ef3b3502d70a1daffe1687d4dc025d50f7af14b286c176528576393a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,788
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29fc…9a36backed Over | 45c | 8,659$3,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,879.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 67c | 6,376$4,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.9 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Under | 62c | 5,336$3,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,038.12 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 7c | 5,080$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.15 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 4,363$2,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.57 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Over | 23c | 3,252$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.94 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 29c | 2,015$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.54 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Over | 59c | 2,004$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 11c | 2,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 39c | 1,769$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.7 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Over | 20c | 1,679$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.82 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a8f…e5f5backed Over | 35c | 1,650$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0807backed Over | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 29c | 900$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b0…180dbacked Under | 64c | 776.81$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Under | 44c | 722.56$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…ee91backed Over | 9c | 706.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Under | 66c | 631.3$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.9 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167d…435ebacked Under | 63c | 556.79$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 539.77$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.62 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under | 45c | 333.06$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 33c | 291.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d12…ccc3backed Over | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…050ebacked Under | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Under | 27c | 212.94$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 69c | 210.85$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.28 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 37c | 200.74$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.92 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…1a0fbacked Under | 45c | 196.07$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 51c | 194.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.52 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 74c | 182.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.67 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 79c | 175.68$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.14 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481a…e61abacked Under | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Over | 27c | 161.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.17 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Over | 31c | 160.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 35c | 139.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Under | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -8.1wins | -0.16per pick | 68cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 9c | 120.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Over | 47c | 108.32$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Over | 51c | 98.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Under | 72c | 97.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd9…dc3abacked Under | 30c | 96.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 49c | 96.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.33 | 284 | 46.5%132 W · 152 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under | 27c | 83.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +153.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 45c | 81.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 26c | 79.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 28c | 75.83$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1d…f2dfbacked Over | 66c | 73$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 44c | 66.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 54c | 65.88$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.81 | 74 | 44.6%33 W · 41 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 62c | 63.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 31c | 59.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +18.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 26c | 55.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 77c | 52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Over | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…2f67backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 55c | 48.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.81 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 69c | 48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 80c | 46.47$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…e15abacked Under | 70c | 43.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 79c | 42.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 50c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -11.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ea…639abacked Under | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 53c | 35.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 65cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeb50…c314backed Under | 77c | 29.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 68c | 16.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 30 | 86.7%26 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 77c | 16.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.78 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 76c | 13.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.