TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Athletic Clubof Sevilla FC, Athletic Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,975

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,617 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sevilla FC1c2,757$33 inLost-$32.6499933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Sevilla FC1c1,010$10 inLost-$10.118046.7%84 W · 96 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Athletic Club44c899.61$398 inWon+$501.185446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletic Club45c402.21$183 inWon+$219.464,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Sevilla FC73c312.77$229 inLost-$229.3923232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Sevilla FC7c177.32$13 inLost-$13.283447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sevilla FC17c147.3$25 inLost-$25.2560832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ed0…c6e1backed Sevilla FC74c134.77$100 inLost-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Sevilla FC31c128.94$40 inLost-$4028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfecc…7551backed Sevilla FC18c112.92$20 inLost-$201050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Athletic Club50c67.04$33 inWon+$33.7321139.8%84 W · 127 L-15.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Athletic Club28c58.27$16 inWon+$41.771,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Athletic Club80c50.94$41 inWon+$10.1911542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sevilla FC78c24$19 inLost-$18.77238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Athletic Club68c19.38$13 inWon+$6.22934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa58…140dbacked Sevilla FC64c15.63$10 inLost-$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Athletic Club71c14.88$11 inWon+$4.3745841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.