TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$15,029
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,029 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x29fc…9a36backed Over50c5,879$2,938 inWon+$2,940.77250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under50c5,233$2,618 inLost-$2,618.251,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under9c1,181$111 inLost-$111.2499933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under43c811.81$349 inLost-$349.0841751.8%216 W · 201 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over57c477$272 inWon+$205.1183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under50c313.16$158 inLost-$157.934,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22af…399abacked Over50c300$150 inWon+$1504247.6%20 W · 22 L+8.1wins+0.19per pick28cpaid+65.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over57c272.54$155 inWon+$117.1922553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under51c261.2$132 inLost-$132.0523232.8%76 W · 156 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Over65c200$130 inWon+$702445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under20c138$28 inLost-$27.614525.5%37 W · 108 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over66c90$59 inWon+$30.640239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked Under36c50$18 inLost-$182147.6%10 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+8.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38b8…f812backed Over37c43$16 inWon+$27.095556.4%31 W · 24 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35aa…7bd0backed Over57c39.91$23 inWon+$17.161136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over69c32.35$22 inWon+$10.114035%14 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5a35…2580backed Over78c30$23 inWon+$6.64452.3%23 W · 21 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over66c25$17 inWon+$8.510347.6%49 W · 54 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ce…d2cbbacked Under65c20$13 inLost-$133458.8%20 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.