La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41f271c7f5ffa793c1ad98c76afdfd4c364825ebd687cad37035ce998a936d00
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 36c | 20,015$7,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,112.23 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 61c | 10,015$6,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.1 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 79c | 6,692$5,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,267.46 | 434 | 39.6%172 W · 262 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 62c | 4,339$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.27 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 21c | 3,732$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.2 | 174 | 47.1%82 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 2c | 2,788$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 2,297$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.91 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Over | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…2bcabacked Under | 36c | 1,111$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…8445backed Under | 4c | 1,088$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 64c | 1,069$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.66 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +17.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 21cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 22c | 965$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.7 | 637 | 57.1%364 W · 273 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 22c | 921.2$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.54 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under | 70c | 857.14$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 15c | 807.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.37 | 828 | 44.8%371 W · 457 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Under | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…428abacked Under | 69c | 408.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Under | 42c | 402.64$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc88…25dabacked Over | 17c | 370.59$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 67cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 315.35$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.91 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cf…2224backed Under | 68c | 294.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.43per pick | 57cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 54c | 275.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 190 | 37.9%72 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Over | 22c | 211.9$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.03 | 144 | 25.7%37 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 64c | 188$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.15 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 43c | 173.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.32 | 218 | 31.7%69 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 66c | 151.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 33c | 145.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.45 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefe4…8f49backed Under | 79c | 120$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 23c | 112.58$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Under | 10c | 101$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Over | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 77c | 96.92$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 22c | 90.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 29c | 66.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.27 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Over | 31c | 64.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 58c | 63.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 607 | 32.5%197 W · 410 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 23c | 61.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 23c | 59.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 64c | 57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked Over | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 100 | 22%22 W · 78 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 61c | 46.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 615 | 57.7%355 W · 260 L | +41.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 56c | 43.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e45…b092backed Over | 54c | 42.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 72c | 41.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…60e4backed Over | 66c | 40.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 45c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3a…e974backed Under | 67c | 33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Over | 47c | 32.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8974…fc7cbacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Over | 66c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 443 | 24.2%107 W · 336 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Over | 59c | 28.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 63c | 28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 63c | 25.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 77c | 24.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 750 | 51.3%385 W · 365 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Over | 57c | 23.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 65c | 21.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Over | 62c | 18.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 79c | 14.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.