TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Sevilla FCof Athletic Club, Sevilla FC
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,317
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,317 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x56ac…d77ebacked Sevilla FC72c2,519$1,814 inWon+$705.397841%32 W · 46 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Athletic Club28c2,450$686 inLost-$6862040%8 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick32cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Sevilla FC72c1,500$1,080 inWon+$4201936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Athletic Club2c883.61$15 inLost-$14.522814.3%4 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Athletic Club2c837.99$20 inLost-$19.765446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Athletic Club28c740.22$207 inLost-$207.264,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sevilla FC71c717$512 inWon+$205.1299933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Athletic Club29c652.8$189 inLost-$189.311,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Athletic Club29c239.97$69 inLost-$68.9164457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletic Club27c161.72$44 inLost-$43.751,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Sevilla FC71c147.89$105 inWon+$42.89966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+21.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed Sevilla FC73c125.96$92 inWon+$34.013145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Sevilla FC72c68$49 inWon+$19.047343.8%32 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Sevilla FC73c63.01$46 inWon+$17.013661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Athletic Club28c60$17 inLost-$17.19252.2%48 W · 44 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Sevilla FC72c46$33 inWon+$12.8812948.8%63 W · 66 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Athletic Club28c46$13 inLost-$12.888647.7%41 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…acbabacked Sevilla FC74c40.81$30 inWon+$10.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Athletic Club28c39.48$11 inLost-$11.056645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Athletic Club29c37.96$11 inLost-$11.0111336.3%41 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Sevilla FC72c28.57$21 inWon+$844039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sevilla FC71c24.14$17 inWon+$71,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Sevilla FC73c19.89$15 inWon+$5.371435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-46.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Sevilla FC71c16.41$12 inWon+$4.763268.8%22 W · 10 L+4.2wins+0.13per pick56cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.