La Liga · resolved market
Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3aea53590e253db6073c02495ac34ac697ca3c3d6e89ad1d10bfb073fd41a2e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,096
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 29c | 6,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 24c | 4,403$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.86 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 71c | 3,989$2,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,157.55 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 71c | 2,857$2,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.57 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Over | 77c | 2,432$1,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.26 | 228 | 59.6%136 W · 92 L | +18.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Over | 77c | 2,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 76c | 1,881$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.78 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 22c | 1,742$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.24 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 23c | 1,209$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.77 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 29c | 734.47$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 18c | 393.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 62c | 387$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.06 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…6ca8backed Over | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…2580backed Over | 79c | 278$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.09 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 31c | 250.99$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 145 | 25.5%37 W · 108 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 18c | 241.11$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.82 | 211 | 39.8%84 W · 127 L | -15.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 67c | 220.35$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 67c | 168.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 156.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 70c | 143.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 77c | 129.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Under | 14c | 129$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Under | 24c | 124.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Over | 76c | 114.72$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 73 | 65.8%48 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…6570backed Over | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 36c | 98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 202 | 52%105 W · 97 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 30c | 96$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 30c | 89.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9545…d6f7backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 19c | 68.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 23c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 458 | 41%188 W · 270 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.08 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 62c | 56.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 76cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…472cbacked Over | 77c | 49.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 79c | 43.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 77c | 37.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 277 | 58.5%162 W · 115 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…24b1backed Over | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 64cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 31c | 35.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 68c | 30.75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 78c | 22.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 75c | 13.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 232 | 32.8%76 W · 156 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 1.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Athletic Club O/U 2.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Athletic Club vs. Sevilla FC: Sevilla FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)Sevilla FC won
- Spread: Sevilla FC (-2.5)Athletic Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.