TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Sevilla FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Sevilla FCof Sevilla FC, Athletic Club
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,346
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,346 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Athletic Club43c1,779$759 inLost-$758.714,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sevilla FC51c1,505$768 inWon+$737.5461657.8%356 W · 260 L+42.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Athletic Club49c1,014$500 inLost-$499.861,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Sevilla FC50c851.23$424 inWon+$427.6522859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Athletic Club40c775.99$314 inLost-$314.155446.3%25 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sevilla FC73c605.58$442 inWon+$163.323,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Athletic Club21c600.1$123 inLost-$123.2499933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf12d…0fddbacked Sevilla FC34c531.01$179 inWon+$351.532835.7%10 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sevilla FC71c360.55$257 inWon+$103.6340239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Sevilla FC5c271.45$14 inWon+$257.9119840.4%80 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Athletic Club63c244.82$154 inLost-$153.722934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e26…ecc5backed Athletic Club62c161.29$100 inLost-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Sevilla FC14c133.44$18 inWon+$115.2710254.9%56 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfecc…7551backed Sevilla FC42c123.62$52 inWon+$71.731050%5 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+51.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Sevilla FC17c110$19 inWon+$90.8415660.9%95 W · 61 L+10.2wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Athletic Club20c106.43$22 inLost-$21.7311542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Sevilla FC73c74$54 inWon+$19.837238.9%28 W · 44 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b24…4247backed Sevilla FC39c38.07$15 inWon+$23.071566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90aa…bb09backed Athletic Club62c24.08$15 inLost-$15450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Athletic Club45c22.53$10 inLost-$10.14035%14 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Athletic Club68c18.91$13 inLost-$12.8227758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Athletic Club62c18.64$12 inLost-$11.5422557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7809…6600backed Sevilla FC56c18$10 inWon+$7.92425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Athletic Club79c17.67$14 inLost-$13.97842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.