TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2c36…4da4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11126.1%29 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.98
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.41
France vs. England: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
England vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.62
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.75
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.13
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+866.2%+$400.87
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.3
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.12
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Switzerland vs. Colombia: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.45
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+910.1%+$225.25
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+137.7%+$68.72
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.91
Egypt leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.49
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.87
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.29
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.56
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Sarmiento vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
CA Barracas Central vs. CA Platense: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.6
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.25
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Botafogo FR vs. CS Cienciano: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$69.04
Montevideo City Torque vs. CA Tigre: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+144.6%+$15.26
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.6
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.06
São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$11.7
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.51
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Club Santos Laguna vs. CD Guadalajara: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
EC Vitória vs. Botafogo FR: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+593%+$85.14
CA River Plate vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
CA Platense vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.56
CA Huracán vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.99
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.36
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
CA River Plate vs. CA Rosario Central: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+103.6%+$21.98
Atlas FC vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$61.27
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.78
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. CA Huracán: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$9.24
CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$31.82
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Hernandez vs. Gregory Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Gregory Rodrigues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$202.72
UFC Fight Night: Anthony Wint vs. Terrance Chatman (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Terrance Chatman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.14
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Ian Machado Garry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.99
UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Dustin Stoltzfus · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+94.4%+$84.22
UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Edson Barboza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)backed Charles Johnson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+111.1%+$16.79
UFC 330: Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Vicente Luque · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.28
UFC 330: Neil Magny vs. Ramiz Brahimaj (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Neil Magny · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$54.29
UFC Fight Night: Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Bogdan Guskov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.47
Will Max Holloway win by KO or TKO?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.6
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Paddy Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$21.43
UFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Cory Sandhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$21.21
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid-77.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-72.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CS Marítimo vs. Académico de Viseu FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.82
Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.5wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Górnik Zabrze vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.49
MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. KF Víkingur: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fateh Saudi Club vs. Al Ettifaq Saudi Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.