South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc097b26e1138141029828e7f5d2ba572e8ffce489c9d2544ff8d58bffb41b3f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,633
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,633 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Over | 49c | 3,358$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.96 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Under | 78c | 2,679$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.2 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 2,385$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.72 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Under | 33c | 2,103$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.6 | 61 | 31.1%19 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.66 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Under | 58c | 1,366$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.75 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…2fa1backed Over | 29c | 1,100$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.18 | 108 | 28.7%31 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 54c | 1,075$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.15 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 59c | 1,025$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.52 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 63c | 974.13$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.36 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Under | 80c | 875.58$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.62 | 170 | 51.8%88 W · 82 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 76c | 593.18$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.08 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 56c | 500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 62c | 333.33$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.66 | 668 | 37.1%248 W · 420 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 38c | 333.33$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.66 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Over | 3c | 326.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8a…01cdbacked Under | 71c | 313.45$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…7643backed Over | 44c | 296.36$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 67c | 283.94$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.67 | 898 | 46.1%414 W · 484 L | -11.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 54c | 227.22$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.76 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 79c | 194.99$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 28c | 161.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 35c | 149.68$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 60c | 145.79$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 40c | 143.58$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.15 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Under | 71c | 136.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 70c | 135.19$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.97 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f45…5390backed Over | 19c | 125$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Over | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked Over | 41c | 122.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.09 | 106 | 35.8%38 W · 68 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 75c | 121.15$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 23c | 120.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.35 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 54c | 110.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 40c | 102.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.65 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…0289backed Over | 67c | 95.91$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 42c | 92.19$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…3259backed Over | 22c | 90.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.73 | 104 | 46.2%48 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 55c | 74.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 55c | 68.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 43c | 67.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.11 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 77c | 64.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 45c | 60.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.01 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 40c | 55.73$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.51 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 53.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.71 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…3bc8backed Over | 55c | 50.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 38c | 46.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 59c | 46.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Over | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ad…1cc0backed Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 43c | 39.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 49c | 37.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 59c | 37.81$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Over | 46c | 34.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 62c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 41c | 30.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 54c | 28.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Under | 55c | 28.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 47c | 28.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 55c | 28.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 111 | 55%61 W · 50 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…c645backed Under | 76c | 26.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee3…2e6abacked Under | 42c | 26.19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 64 | 26.6%17 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 44c | 24.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 47c | 21.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…b02cbacked Under | 73c | 20.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 55c | 20.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 58c | 18.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 65c | 17.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Over | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Central Córdoba (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)CA Central Córdoba won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)CA Central Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.