South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x974daed8e6b780d94e78160ebfd43d1a257ab209518008f20de1ea282ed7f2ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 30c | 3,606$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.83 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 19c | 1,403$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.62 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 64c | 1,252$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.28 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Over | 45c | 1,082$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.9 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 32c | 931.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.32 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 68c | 691$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.12 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Under | 68c | 631.45$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 34c | 479.14$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 382 | 33%126 W · 256 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 23c | 448.11$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.97 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 68c | 350$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe065…df75backed Over | 37c | 281.08$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.30per pick | 53cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 73c | 224.97$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 222.12$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.18 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 65c | 155.2$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 140.81$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Under | 72c | 135.5$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 73c | 130.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 125.69$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 67c | 107$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 71c | 100.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.96 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 59c | 98.31$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 37c | 86.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b3…3b3fbacked Under | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 66c | 83.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Over | 31c | 83.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 55c | 75.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…ea8fbacked Under | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 67c | 68.38$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 28c | 64.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 65c | 62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Over | 36c | 59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 71c | 54.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55a3…fd93backed Over | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked Over | 30c | 48.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 90 | 26.7%24 W · 66 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked Under | 64c | 48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.7wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +26%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 78c | 31.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 72c | 30.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 74c | 28.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.21 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 37c | 27.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Under | 71c | 19.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 73c | 15.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Central Córdoba (-1.5)CA San Lorenzo de Almagro won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-1.5)CA Central Córdoba won
- Spread: CA San Lorenzo de Almagro (-2.5)CA Central Córdoba won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.