South American Leagues · resolved market
São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x801d7fb50c403e098f038009d0285eab4dae15b4b99f6afa6e6e03e093ecee05
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,644
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,026
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,644 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 2c | 9,665$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.23 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 77c | 5,526$4,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.49 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…ab50backed Over | 2c | 4,082$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.63 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 3,917$2,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.67 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 33c | 3,765$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.49 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 44c | 2,642$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.3 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 4c | 2,398$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.85 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.04 | 123 | 38.2%47 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 1,479$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.16 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Over | 33c | 1,061$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.56 | 215 | 38.1%82 W · 133 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Over | 4c | 845$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 46c | 572$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.12 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…89c6backed Under | 72c | 450.48$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.63 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 56c | 446$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.24 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 30c | 360.38$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.1 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 44c | 268.62$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.19 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…d3b5backed Over | 35c | 267.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 56c | 255.85$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.77 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c36…4da4backed Over | 6c | 242.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 11c | 211.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.03 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 35c | 181.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 164.14$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 53c | 158.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.82 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 52c | 156.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 199 | 52.8%105 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 63c | 156$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.72 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Under | 56c | 133.77$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 127 | 55.9%71 W · 56 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 67c | 115.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 67c | 115.73$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.91 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 54c | 114$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.44 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 34c | 110.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Over | 45c | 109.29$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fa…8fdfbacked Over | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa4…2d5cbacked Over | 46c | 92.39$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9c…601abacked Over | 44c | 87.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 14c | 86.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…eacebacked Over | 15c | 77.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 36c | 73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.08 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed Over | 55c | 66$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 54c | 64.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Over | 48c | 62.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Under | 75c | 61.17$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 142 | 64.1%91 W · 51 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 50.48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 64c | 49.49$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Over | 44c | 49.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Under | 56c | 47.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0b…2500backed Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 156 | 25.6%40 W · 116 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1082…48d3backed Over | 34c | 39.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 68c | 37.79$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 43c | 37.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 55c | 30.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Under | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 150 | 57.3%86 W · 64 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf423…31c4backed Under | 68c | 24.35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 68c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 66c | 23.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 69c | 20.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 74c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: Coritiba FBC (-2.5)São Paulo FC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)Coritiba FBC won
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-2.5)Coritiba FBC won
- São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 0.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 1.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 3.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 4.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.