TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xafcf…72f6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$5.65
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$3.04
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.37
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.11
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$3.26
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+193.5%+$23.08
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.75
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$16.56
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.95
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.7
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$15.25
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.74
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.05
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Mexico vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.13
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.45
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.5
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$3.83
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.9
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$7.35
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.2
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.15
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT5759.6%34 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-9.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Talleres vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.35
CA Lanús vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.5
CA Tigre vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$10.1
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
São Paulo FC vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+77%+$8.7
CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+46%+$6.3
CD Riestra vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.25
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.4
CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.6
CA Talleres vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
SC Internacional vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$9.1
CA Tigre vs. Club Nacional de Football: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$6.45
CA Banfield vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.9
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Mirassol FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+29%+$6.75
CA Huracán vs. CA Banfield: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.4
Racing Club vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$15.9
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.9
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+80.5%+$13.26
Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
EC Bahia vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$47.4
EC Bahia vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$10.7
Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Internacional: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$11.63
Coritiba FBC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.43
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-4.1wins-0.31per pick62cpaid-58%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.25
Levante UD vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.93
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+47.8%+$7.02
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+39.7%+$5.89
Valencia CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.14
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$3.45
RCD Mallorca vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.57
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$20.1
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+76.2%+$76.24
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$14.59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$111.29
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$469Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+35.9%+$168.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-34.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.6
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.84
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.13
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$4.23
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+80.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick74cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-49%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick70cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles FC vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.76
Orlando City SC vs. CF Montréal: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$9.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$13.25
Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BMW Open: Alexander Zverev vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$5.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.