South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98bc746229e574a3bdf4cd90b2ac09114e415932c661b8c68e8d56be83687b61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,093
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,093 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 12,708$9,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,236.76 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 27c | 10,709$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,788.47 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 25c | 7,415$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,527.66 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 70c | 5,001$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.74 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 30c | 3,010$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,107.08 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab65…4a03backed Over | 22c | 1,376$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +311.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…fd69backed Under | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 37c | 970.02$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…9357backed Under | 7c | 828.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 74c | 710.65$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.91 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 3c | 704.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 74c | 671.37$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.24 | 331 | 52.6%174 W · 157 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 74c | 625.44$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.83 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec39…64bbbacked Under | 80c | 488.4$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 75c | 365$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 74c | 326.15$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.43 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 70c | 284.07$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.48 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 36c | 278.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.08 | 552 | 50.2%277 W · 275 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 70c | 250.97$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.54 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 12c | 246.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 35c | 230.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x744c…e37fbacked Under | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Under | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 64c | 174.22$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 69c | 166.32$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 22c | 141.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.14 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Under | 59c | 122.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.16 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 22c | 104.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.89 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 30c | 93.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.31 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 77c | 92.17$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.65 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 76c | 92.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 29c | 80.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Under | 59c | 64.27$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 71c | 62.62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 191 | 64.4%123 W · 68 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 76c | 62.4$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.56 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 73c | 54.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9851…c31dbacked Over | 27c | 52.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 75c | 50.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 34c | 42.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.73 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafcf…72f6backed Under | 59c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Over | 39c | 37.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8041…fc83backed Under | 71c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Under | 71c | 34.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.81 | 131 | 67.9%89 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 77c | 34.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…d954backed Over | 43c | 29.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2620…2a78backed Over | 48c | 27.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 70c | 21.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Under | 72c | 16.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 75c | 16.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…ac24backed Under | 70c | 16.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 68c | 15.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 12.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 60 | 78.3%47 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 80cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Aldosivi vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata (-1.5)CA Aldosivi won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.