TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x39fc…002f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)backed CA Tucumán · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$15.09
CA Central Córdoba vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.39
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Independiente: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.17
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.95
CA Talleres leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$80.78
Will CA Platense vs. CA Talleres end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.16
CA Platense vs. CA Talleres: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.25
CA Sarmiento vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.26
Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 3 - 1 Club Necaxa?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Deportivo Toluca FC leading at halftime?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Club Necaxa leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Exact Score: Deportivo Toluca FC 3 - 0 Club Necaxa?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+204.1%+$47.85
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$17.62
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.04
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-1.5)backed Club Necaxa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.28
Spread: Deportivo Toluca FC (-2.5)backed Club Necaxa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$12.44
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.64
CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+338.3%+$339.86
Spread: CF América (-1.5)backed CF América · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$72.41
CF América vs. Club Santos Laguna: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
CA Lanús vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$27.66
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$37.92
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.23
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.61
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.93
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$14.96
Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.5
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+52.5%+$31.51
New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$6.34
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+32.1%+$13.96
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$131.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtic FC vs. Dundee FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.14
Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.65
Spread: Djurgardens IF (-2.5)backed Vasteraas SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Djurgardens IF vs. Vasteraas SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.33
Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$27.59
Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.92
Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+193.1%+$37.41
Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.58
SK Brann vs. Rosenborg BK: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$53.23
Brøndby IF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Hibernian FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.24
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$127.06
Will St Johnstone FC vs. Kilmarnock FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ITF Leipzig: Lidia Encheva vs Nellie Taraba Wallbergbacked Nellie Taraba Wallberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.65
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Alexander Donski vs Takuya Kumasakabacked Alexander Donski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$48.12
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.89
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$124.54
Istanbul 2: Ilia Simakin vs Gabi Boitanbacked Ilia Simakin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+155.7%+$29.28
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Linda Fruhvirtovabacked Linda Fruhvirtova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.2
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Iliyan Radulovbacked Michele Ribecai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$104.02
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Fares Zakaria vs Daniil Glinkabacked Fares Zakaria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.82
Warsaw: Julia Avdeeva vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Noma Noha Akugue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+70.1%+$77.94
National Bank Open: Xiyu Wang vs Sara Bejlekbacked Sara Bejlek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$190.76
All 10 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Feverbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$23.92
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Skybacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+135.4%+$64.76
Spread: Chicago Sky (-1.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$111.07
Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 177.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.06
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)backed Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.25
Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty: O/U 182.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+353.6%+$90.59
Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 173.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Portland Fire: O/U 183.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.36
Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Larne FC vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.