WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfac5f881bf33c40f7defa60200d39e3f2a88574f453bd61b5701fb6f98a3750
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Atlanta Dream
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 3,638$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.69 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Atlanta Dream | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.94 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 2,790$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.84 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 63c | 2,168$1,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.07 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Atlanta Dream | 47c | 2,092$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.24 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 1,792$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.29 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 1,581$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.85 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,323$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.31 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 1,086$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.54 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Atlanta Dream | 58c | 735$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.3 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Atlanta Dream | 58c | 671.04$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.2 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 628.41$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.95 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd51…1041backed Atlanta Dream | 59c | 589.83$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 509.84$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.88 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Atlanta Dream | 58c | 419.96$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.58 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Atlanta Dream | 59c | 412.18$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 323.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.63 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c2f…9765backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 305$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.9 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 60c | 284.19$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 256$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.48 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 230.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.66 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 222.6$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Atlanta Dream | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Atlanta Dream | 60c | 198.19$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…002fbacked Atlanta Dream | 15c | 175$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Atlanta Dream | 59c | 135.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x975c…6343backed Atlanta Dream | 16c | 130$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 14c | 128.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.92 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Atlanta Dream | 19c | 119.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…54f5backed Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Atlanta Dream | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Atlanta Dream | 26c | 103.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 91.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.27 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…8f46backed Atlanta Dream | 59c | 74.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 73.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.01 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Las Vegas Aces | 40c | 67.61$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.57 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 53.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Atlanta Dream | 57c | 51.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 173 | 43.9%76 W · 97 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Dream | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Las Vegas Aces | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Las Vegas Aces | 42c | 47.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 41c | 47.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.12 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed Atlanta Dream | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 40.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…4188backed Atlanta Dream | 59c | 35.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Atlanta Dream | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Las Vegas Aces | 46c | 30.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59f1…324ebacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 46cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Atlanta Dream | 60c | 28.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Las Vegas Aces | 61c | 26.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Atlanta Dream | 53c | 25.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Atlanta Dream | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 43c | 23.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 22.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 21.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 71c | 17.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Las Vegas Aces | 71c | 15.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta DreamLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 184.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 185.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.