TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,587
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,642

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,587 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Over56c9,727$5,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,317.5410749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c9,087$5,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,076.9750952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over48c8,292$3,971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,321.571,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe156…134bbacked Under52c2,760$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.223627.8%10 W · 26 L-7.6wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-44.8%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x379a…5122backed Under46c2,575$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1844339.5%17 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c2,117$1,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,077.161,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under50c1,958$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$977.7999548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over54c1,868$1,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.3538645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0f…d336backed Under46c1,738$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80560%0 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over51c1,681$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.0755255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Under46c1,342$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.21942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c1,196$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.1341145.7%188 W · 223 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c1,170$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.4283748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed Under51c1,160$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.351118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.4wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-66.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under50c1,147$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.450646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under47c1,013$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4763444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over49c969.71$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.5532540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under59c864.59$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.113158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under45c826.31$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.8417946.9%84 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under45c798.33$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.2546247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over51c797.45$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.5512661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Over54c675.78$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.027138%27 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over52c601.18$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.8623746.4%110 W · 127 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under48c597.27$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.6917946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under45c560.41$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.615746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under41c531.28$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5837141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under52c441.41$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.5385158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Under51c392.19$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a09…ab7ebacked Over51c352.63$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.792365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-40.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13239947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfe6…4fadbacked Over55c260$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.53959%23 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over67c259.56$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.6536750.7%186 W · 181 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over49c255.56$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.1114345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Under59c236.54$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.569460.6%57 W · 37 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Under45c213.64$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.145831%18 W · 40 L-7.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-30.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over54c210$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.66544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under14c204$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5625246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Over55c182.98$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.343754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under49c180.59$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2378548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over56c175.35$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.287945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Under58c165.99$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.275759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over48c149.99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7826247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Under50c140$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Under44c138$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7230734.2%105 W · 202 L-28.2wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c131.74$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5134448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8509…fd97backed Under46c131.48$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-59.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over56c115.35$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.238556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Over51c105.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.418748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Over49c103.48$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5629654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under52c100.2$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4389349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over49c99.75$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.328647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Over52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.227049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under47c75.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4792248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe217…9626backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.471741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over50c73.68$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7710853.7%58 W · 50 L+9.2wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over52c72.74$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6113355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Over51c69.57$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.22157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Under45c69.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2532948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over47c66.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Over49c63.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.467147.9%34 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over52c59.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8515453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over52c52.39$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9624656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Under58c50.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.573470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.4wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+46.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Over52c48.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.071250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Under49c43.59$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.362642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under51c42.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4820340.9%83 W · 120 L-16.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-19.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x657c…66a3backed Under44c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.728057.5%46 W · 34 L+6.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Over52c37.21$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8913249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Over51c32.84$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2119257.3%110 W · 82 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over52c31.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0542649.3%210 W · 216 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59f1…324ebacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.31per pick46cpaid-71.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over53c28.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5934753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb269…9548backed Over49c28.76$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under47c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.169348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under47c27.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.82714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over48c26.69$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9764152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x360a…1098backed Under44c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.566155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7dae…7199backed Under45c22.92$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.317248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under53c22.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7319245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Under53c21.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.474942.9%21 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2470…7ae6backed Over51c21.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.491850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Over54c21.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.695168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over54c20.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.346254.8%34 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f1…7933backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97a7…ac24backed Under51c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.151560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over53c19.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.45259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.