TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 184.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$86,012
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,759

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,012 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Over53c16,986$8,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,051.7510749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6e0…9970backed Under51c8,507$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under43c5,544$2,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,387.0937141.2%153 W · 218 L-13.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under52c4,617$2,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.6617946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7234…1d85backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0403100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over48c3,923$1,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,040.093740.5%15 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1681…5032backed Under50c3,799$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.847159.2%42 W · 29 L+5.7wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over47c2,698$1,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,430.9755255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked Under54c2,575$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3929042.2%38 W · 52 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under48c2,383$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.540550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Under47c2,271$1,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,074.967138%27 W · 44 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under50c2,171$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.41,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1311…d450backed Under50c2,100$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0501428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.21per pick49cpaid-42.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under48c1,882$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.8878548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x719b…30e5backed Over44c1,850$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+43.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over54c1,445$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$664.9721446.3%99 W · 115 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed Over48c1,278$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.5212661.1%77 W · 49 L+11.8wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x885f…8ed9backed Under47c1,247$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.145541.8%23 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6691…5a83backed Under49c1,205$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.251942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under46c1,114$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.446154.1%33 W · 28 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb2c…5280backed Over44c925$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5182100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5902…59fabacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over47c798.31$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.9228647.9%137 W · 149 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under46c611.38$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.8785158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c601.43$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.281,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a1…a119backed Over51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.245850%29 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over49c580.2$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.5689349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over44c450$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25226247.7%125 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c444.32$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.0523245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x987e…8d7abacked Over48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.675461.1%33 W · 21 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x721e…3439backed Over49c390$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Under56c381.3$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.535147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c379.19$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.7132540.3%131 W · 194 L-17.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over63c372.99$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.3330649%150 W · 156 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Over63c314.3$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.227945.6%36 W · 43 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over52c307.83$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.9432150.2%161 W · 160 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1476544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over52c250$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.9923955.2%132 W · 107 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9836454.1%197 W · 167 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c232$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9250952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7353…4b0dbacked Over50c230$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1155752.6%30 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under48c199.84$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.927732.5%25 W · 52 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over60c174.1$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7910454.8%57 W · 47 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa560…767dbacked Under48c168.43$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.852759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Over50c168.1$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.059336.6%34 W · 59 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Under45c150.6$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.779348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.539947.1%188 W · 211 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over52c125$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3631448.4%152 W · 162 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over49c117.43$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7134753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a09…ab7ebacked Over40c114.18$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.682365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Under54c113.93$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.848836.4%32 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59b6…307fbacked Over50c110$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0294…6c06backed Under51c104.69$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+86.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe72…900fbacked Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08ce…86d3backed Over39c99.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.997643.4%33 W · 43 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under53c99.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7534448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Over46c95.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.653148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Over48c95.11$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.162653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over52c84.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6271245.4%323 W · 389 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9299548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Under50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under34c71.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0137650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c1…928cbacked Over61c65.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.791435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Under29c65.17$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.922440.2%90 W · 134 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Under49c63.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under53c59.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5938645.9%177 W · 209 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe49f…03acbacked Over48c57.67$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.89977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+42%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under47c55.19$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9446247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Over51c49.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.272157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under51c48.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6626054.6%142 W · 118 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd96d…372bbacked Under50c40.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Over53c40.04$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.998556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x118d…d432backed Over52c39.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.157147.9%34 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f12…eeb9backed Over51c38.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.84666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Over45c36.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.0417343.9%76 W · 97 L-8.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over50c34.77$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3315453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under54c33.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9815654.5%85 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ebe…6dccbacked Over52c32.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.69944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Under47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0414345.5%65 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over49c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe73…7d93backed Under53c29.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.515242.3%22 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd8fa…581fbacked Under55c28.9$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.993158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Over48c28.8$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9711242.9%48 W · 64 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94fb…ab54backed Over54c28.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Over46c27.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8113355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Over49c26.71$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.625168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+30.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under58c25.6$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.85728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.22per pick51cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over50c23.54$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7624656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x624b…d3dbbacked Over47c23.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.542065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Under57c23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.035759.6%34 W · 23 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1425…3bc8backed Over56c21.6$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.485100%5 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+71.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under48c20.96$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0615746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under55c20.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.134918.3%64 W · 285 L-49.5wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-58.1%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.