WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6a0bd21077d657a2ff289e8f68bb791b322145b232c9c02ca6c7736717a5681
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,584
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,584 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 4,032$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.54 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 3,390$1,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.84 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 49c | 2,992$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,473.17 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 2,337$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.46 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 1,969$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.13 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…4b0dbacked Over | 54c | 1,934$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.81 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…b821backed Under | 46c | 1,700$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 54c | 1,591$855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.71 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 1,485$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.17 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 54c | 1,446$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.26 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 53c | 1,409$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.78 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…35d7backed Over | 68c | 1,170$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 52c | 995.89$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.94 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 49c | 933.62$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.15 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 46c | 873.13$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.84 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 44c | 589.68$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.2 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 48c | 522.36$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.73 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 505$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.25 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Over | 49c | 458.73$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.95 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 46c | 423.19$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4272…4a17backed Over | 57c | 403.84$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.17 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 51c | 386.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 295.36$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.38 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Under | 46c | 268.89$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 285 | 58.6%167 W · 118 L | +20.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 260.25$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.11 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 43c | 259.15$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 252 | 46%116 W · 136 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb417…06dcbacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 194.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.29 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb143…cadebacked Over | 48c | 109.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.1 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 44c | 104$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.76 | 307 | 34.2%105 W · 202 L | -28.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 49c | 99.1$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.06 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5955…f86ebacked Under | 44c | 90.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 89.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 42c | 87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.54 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…cad7backed Over | 57c | 86.19$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.06 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Over | 59c | 79.33$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 52c | 67.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Over | 59c | 65.63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 58c | 64.34$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.13 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 61.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Over | 56c | 60.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0b…4db0backed Over | 49c | 58.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 59c | 58.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 53c | 50.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 53c | 47.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e37…cfbdbacked Over | 56c | 45.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 45.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…eb85backed Over | 56c | 45.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…b5afbacked Under | 44c | 39.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…03acbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Under | 48c | 27.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 61c | 25.07$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 48c | 23.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Under | 47c | 23.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 60c | 22.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Over | 49c | 22.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.7wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x624b…d3dbbacked Over | 49c | 20.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Over | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Over | 58c | 17.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…99eebacked Over | 67c | 14.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta DreamLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 184.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 185.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.