WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1399d1054c40b79cf36fe20c45718e0d866454f2ebc5d2a0af011e642752970f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Atlanta Dream, Las Vegas Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream | 46c | 3,385$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.39 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 2,555$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.06 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream | 50c | 2,309$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,145.53 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.94 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 1,627$889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.94 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 1,247$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.26 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 1,073$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.35 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Atlanta Dream | 51c | 971.91$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.68 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 772.49$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.22 | 371 | 41.2%153 W · 218 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 764.91$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.86 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +11.8wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf03b…3ba1backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 693.88$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.88 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 608$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.08 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 601.56$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.8 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 531.79$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.34 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf505…8862backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 376.97$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.97 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 363.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.82 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 337.41$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.34 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…3fa6backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 211.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…6520backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 171.98$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 119.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.67 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 119.62$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 154 | 53.2%82 W · 72 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 119.13$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.78 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 115.37$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 111.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 246 | 56.5%139 W · 107 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 102$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…3a41backed Atlanta Dream | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 90.05$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 84.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 80.18$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 79.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.97 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 77.75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 192 | 57.3%110 W · 82 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 76.89$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 74.56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 60.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.56 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfc…6690backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x453b…6660backed Atlanta Dream | 51c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 40.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e33…c5b9backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 38.24$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 32.77$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Atlanta Dream | 50c | 29.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 26.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta DreamLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 184.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 185.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.