TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Atlanta Dream
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$287,558
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$300,352

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $287,558 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed Las Vegas Aces46c29,116$13,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,585.3710749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ae1…8c1bbacked Atlanta Dream1c27,966$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.962714.8%4 W · 23 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-62.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Las Vegas Aces45c18,928$8,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,351.7723245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Atlanta Dream56c14,129$7,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,912.237749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Atlanta Dream31c11,284$3,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,489.721,01247.9%485 W · 527 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaed0…6f18backed Atlanta Dream55c11,239$6,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,181.283250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6195…b9e3backed Atlanta Dream56c10,270$5,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,782.891353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Las Vegas Aces78c10,183$7,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,288.0451147.2%241 W · 270 L-2.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Las Vegas Aces43c10,162$4,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,792.2241051.2%210 W · 200 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Atlanta Dream55c10,000$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,5002055%11 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6e0…9970backed Las Vegas Aces44c8,725$3,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,885.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-62.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x684b…8409backed Atlanta Dream53c7,098$3,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,761.969644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Dream30c7,091$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.6279648.7%388 W · 408 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Atlanta Dream0c6,500$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14960%0 W · 96 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Las Vegas Aces56c6,109$3,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,688.122382.6%19 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+20.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Dream55c5,686$3,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,154.6585948.4%416 W · 443 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Dream49c5,221$2,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,556.31,63250.2%819 W · 813 L+37.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Atlanta Dream44c5,206$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,290.446836.8%25 W · 43 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Las Vegas Aces44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8001172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+57.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Atlanta Dream50c4,097$2,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,057.4815048%72 W · 78 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…38c8backed Atlanta Dream21c4,000$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$841.743455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Atlanta Dream57c4,000$2,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2808259.8%49 W · 33 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf08…907ebacked Las Vegas Aces45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.331963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Atlanta Dream51c3,195$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.119847.5%94 W · 104 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Dream39c3,137$1,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2181,78751.7%924 W · 863 L+54.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Las Vegas Aces44c3,094$1,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,726.8424847.6%118 W · 130 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ef…2864backed Las Vegas Aces44c3,018$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,689.837338.4%28 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Las Vegas Aces48c2,572$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,349.5428753.3%153 W · 134 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Atlanta Dream56c2,500$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Atlanta Dream53c2,100$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.988646.5%40 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Atlanta Dream49c2,084$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Dream32c1,907$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602.853141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Atlanta Dream57c1,898$1,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.291457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Dream29c1,890$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.1719628.6%56 W · 140 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb56d…d621backed Las Vegas Aces57c1,754$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Las Vegas Aces43c1,720$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.2390449.4%447 W · 457 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Dream55c1,716$951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951.184759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Las Vegas Aces66c1,698$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.0838940.9%159 W · 230 L-14.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Las Vegas Aces47c1,627$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f2…b422backed Las Vegas Aces47c1,596$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.746956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Atlanta Dream54c1,500$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81033839.9%135 W · 203 L-19.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Atlanta Dream12c1,477$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.310440.4%42 W · 62 L-0.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Atlanta Dream49c1,421$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.2331443%135 W · 179 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7d8…f8fabacked Atlanta Dream52c1,221$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-56.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Atlanta Dream47c1,208$563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.9741446.6%193 W · 221 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Atlanta Dream59c1,191$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.986352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Atlanta Dream48c1,098$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.1739045.9%179 W · 211 L-15.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Las Vegas Aces60c1,080$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4321553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Las Vegas Aces43c1,032$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.0514060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Atlanta Dream50c1,018$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.0914541.4%60 W · 85 L-10.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Las Vegas Aces80c1,000$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6830347.2%143 W · 160 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Atlanta Dream52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xac48…e505backed Atlanta Dream8c938.35$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8360%0 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x73e8…cd6fbacked Atlanta Dream57c884$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.886750.7%34 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Las Vegas Aces57c877.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.198160.5%49 W · 32 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc535…9884backed Atlanta Dream57c693.58$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.441435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Las Vegas Aces44c681$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.365147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7dea…ae17backed Las Vegas Aces53c670.94$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+94%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Atlanta Dream35c656$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.8421546.5%100 W · 115 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Atlanta Dream57c600$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3429751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Atlanta Dream56c547$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3239450.5%199 W · 195 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Atlanta Dream57c500$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.4885158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Las Vegas Aces44c469.97$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.199439.4%37 W · 57 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9786…1e9abacked Atlanta Dream4c464.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172611.5%3 W · 23 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xecb6…f7c4backed Las Vegas Aces49c449.37$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Atlanta Dream56c446.52$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6215746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Las Vegas Aces44c444.43$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.88742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dae…72febacked Las Vegas Aces44c444.43$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.881275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+47.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Atlanta Dream52c437.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.761553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Las Vegas Aces66c424.97$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.2132849.4%162 W · 166 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed Las Vegas Aces43c400$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2281145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Atlanta Dream25c390.45$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.528327.7%23 W · 60 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd09…42d9backed Atlanta Dream54c370$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.83259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Atlanta Dream50c356.47$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.038556.5%48 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Atlanta Dream24c348.78$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.0310854.6%59 W · 49 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Atlanta Dream29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004961.2%30 W · 19 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc214…105dbacked Atlanta Dream56c333.93$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Atlanta Dream45c331.33$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.3629548.5%143 W · 152 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf8…bf62backed Las Vegas Aces52c327.27$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.981241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5923…04b8backed Atlanta Dream55c312.51$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e30…4469backed Atlanta Dream41c304.53$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Atlanta Dream21c283.4$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602425%6 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Atlanta Dream49c280.98$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.368748.3%42 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ff…025fbacked Atlanta Dream57c280.65$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8543…ff1bbacked Atlanta Dream49c260.04$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.912157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xadbc…8af3backed Atlanta Dream56c260$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.63756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Las Vegas Aces51c250.58$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4311941.2%49 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Atlanta Dream48c250$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.215351%78 W · 75 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4cf…0e95backed Atlanta Dream57c250$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.55752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Las Vegas Aces67c242.41$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.87368.5%50 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Atlanta Dream43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Atlanta Dream49c228.38$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8613355.6%74 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd4d…60f8backed Las Vegas Aces46c227.15$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.211723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1852…cb4ebacked Atlanta Dream9c225$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252817.9%5 W · 23 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-41.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Las Vegas Aces46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.39862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Atlanta Dream28c210$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.36440.6%26 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Las Vegas Aces77c204.63$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4120440.7%83 W · 121 L-16.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Atlanta Dream48c203.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4415453.2%82 W · 72 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Atlanta Dream39c200.02$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.445752.6%30 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Atlanta Dream49c200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.887732.5%25 W · 52 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-33.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.