WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 185.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1fc5e2edb356347e310d74558a0e32c8f5cd13cd71961e80866af514929588df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,596
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 61c | 3,215$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.85 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 41c | 2,794$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.16 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 52c | 1,079$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.22 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Under | 53c | 1,070$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.8 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Over | 47c | 918.81$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.97 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 48c | 886.5$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.98 | 286 | 47.9%137 W · 149 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 51c | 741$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.09 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 701.12$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.51 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 53c | 663.25$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.52 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…38c8backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Over | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Under | 53c | 477.34$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.99 | 157 | 46.5%73 W · 84 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7a…f252backed Under | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 287.06$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.66 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 219.34$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 47c | 208.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 185.64$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.76 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 62c | 127.34$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 203 | 40.9%83 W · 120 L | -16.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 46c | 125.85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.96 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…5fe5backed Under | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf452…4d43backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 91.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9c…0f59backed Under | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 52c | 47.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7857backed Over | 80c | 45.05$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Over | 46c | 40.88$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 46c | 39.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Under | 63c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 62c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 185.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta DreamLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 182.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 183.5Over won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 184.5Over won
- Spread: Atlanta Dream (-2.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-1.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.