TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xddb3…5fe5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
243
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: MLB, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 58 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT7163.4%45 W · 26 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$23.2
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.99
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.5
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$10.5
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankeesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+79.1%+$44.14
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.99
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42.84
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$88.2
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$94.3
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 15.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$131.12
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT3953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Mexico vs. England: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$16.67
Colombia vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.8%+$34.92
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$5.84
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$28.29
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+85.8%+$47.19
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$47.6
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.12
England vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Ecuador O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$31.7
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+143.8%+$50.32
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$111
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.26
Cardiff City FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$52.8
Burnley FC vs. West Ham United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.79
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Norwich City FC vs. Milton Keynes Dons FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.95
West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+105.8%+$128.54
West Ham United FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.26
Derby County FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+119.3%+$59.85
Derby County FC vs. Lincoln City FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$66.6
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-08-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-08-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$13.8
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Port Vale FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+177.6%+$176.12
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.76
Will Newcastle United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.12
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.54
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+25%+$11.75
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$82.99
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.45
New York City FC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.7%+$26.46
Chicago Fire FC vs. Portland Timbers: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+47.3%+$32.1
San Jose Earthquakes vs. St. Louis City SC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.19
Nashville SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$32.8
FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
FC Cincinnati vs. San Jose Earthquakes: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.5
Chicago Fire FC vs. Charlotte FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.6
Minnesota United FC vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+110.3%+$97.16
Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Vancouver Whitecaps FC vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.02
Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.5
Los Angeles FC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Houston Dynamo vs. Austin FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$59
New York City FC vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
New England Revolution vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.4
Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
All 21 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.51
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+83.6%+$89.88
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.02
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+332.4%+$1,571.07
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$265.15
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+238%+$211.32
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+92.5%+$23.55
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Celtics vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+30.3%+$3.26
Jazz vs. Warriors: O/U 244.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+81.8%+$81.82
76ers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+133.1%+$29.13
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$41.77
Warriors vs. Trail Blazersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14.86
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28.35
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
All 17 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+25.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$94
CF Pachuca vs. Club Puebla: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Club Necaxa vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$314Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$99.21
Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Necaxa: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
FC Juárez vs. Pumas de la UNAM: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Atlético San Luis vs. Club Tijuana: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.1
Fluminense FC vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+248.1%+$124
Clube do Remo vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
CR Flamengo vs. São Paulo FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Club Bolívar vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$6.77
Will Querétaro FC vs. CF América end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wright State Raiders vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$218Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$99.95
Hofstra Pride vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$99.34
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.15
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.26
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$417.48
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.59
Clemson Tigers vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.87
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. UNLV Runnin' Rebelsbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.87
Arizona Wildcats vs. Baylor Bearsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.33
Miami Hurricanes vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+78.6%+$20.43
Cincinnati Bearcats vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked Kansas Jayhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Auburn Tigers vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+57.4%+$42.48
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs. Oklahoma Soonersbacked Oklahoma Sooners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+87.6%+$9.39
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.33per pick53cpaid+72.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Cowboys vs. Giantsbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$115
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$65.6
Seahawks vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oregon vs. Texas Tech Red Raidersbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$54.17
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Ohio State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$63.54
Boise State vs. Washingtonbacked Washington · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 185.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Cabos Open: Cameron Norrie vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC København vs. Lyngby BK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.