TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,576
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,953

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,576 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x122b…ac59backed Under1c21,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-37.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under25c16,704$4,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,235.792035%7 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+50.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c7,521$4,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,132.634,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under39c3,882$1,514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5143348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over72c3,075$2,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.331,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over58c2,995$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.1388635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under2c2,673$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.46425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over65c2,308$1,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$815.415160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under17c2,179$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.5722644.2%100 W · 126 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under30c2,108$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.6877336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over51c2,029$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.723033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.9913837%51 W · 87 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked Under2c1,764$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.271233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under40c1,690$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.662231.8%7 W · 15 L-4.7wins-0.21per pick53cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed Over55c1,600$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under25c1,527$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.392528%7 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under69c1,517$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.385757.9%33 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under4c1,500$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.95333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-52.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Under42c1,429$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over56c1,392$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.4448950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under2c1,244$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8880%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over70c1,158$813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.981,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Under40c1,126$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.252236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over32c1,117$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.567648.7%37 W · 39 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90cf…6cc2backed Under71c1,015$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101414.3%2 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-50.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbee…d267backed Under42c1,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Over31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6906225.8%16 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dbe…1999backed Under71c996.01$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41a…0a9bbacked Under3c927.83$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.83650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Over39c900$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5454841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over29c889.6$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.625750.9%29 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x319f…500bbacked Over62c800$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3043452.9%18 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over31c698.28$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.8159247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over30c666.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.6735428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Under3c666.66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-79%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under70c649.15$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.49735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over29c571.55$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.2485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Under3c552.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.081844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a2d…6db9backed Under70c514.29$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36015543.9%68 W · 87 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Under54c509.43$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.09560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under25c497.94$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4257833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Over59c495.64$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+69.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Under41c444$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.041553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under48c414.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001080%8 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd963…fd5abacked Under25c414.44$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.84742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under65c392.62$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2561952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under45c348.89$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1573053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under68c272.47$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.284736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over31c213.49$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.7455751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Under71c210$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.153134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Under35c208$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under64c200$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1274035%14 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb3…5fe5backed Under56c199$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over32c181.5$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.4254340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over33c163.53$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.011,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a08…882dbacked Under66c155$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeae…b339backed Under66c147.53$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e24…dbd6backed Over48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.83666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x29b1…b0babacked Over36c143.36$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb511…e800backed Under69c142.03$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-50.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over38c137$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.3114055%77 W · 63 L+18.4wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+29.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x40f7…1f5ebacked Under20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254434.1%15 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb18e…8038backed Under69c123.19$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over59c121.28$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1512045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4726…ff2bbacked Under51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c9…d2ebbacked Under45c111.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Under69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under44c93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.097844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc306…3bb9backed Under41c84.51$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under41c84.43$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.471233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over55c80$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3655654.9%305 W · 251 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Over32c79.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.389851%50 W · 48 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over31c77.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1923243.5%101 W · 131 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b3…33efbacked Under65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under67c75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.321,61553%856 W · 759 L+33.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b89…9f72backed Under67c74.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3a…e974backed Over48c74.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.463036.7%11 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9412…730ebacked Under69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502245.5%10 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over30c69.31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.522560%15 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Over80c68.06$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.61475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick75cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65ee…3240backed Over30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+33.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Over31c64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.167057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Over63c63.75$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.757136.6%26 W · 45 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5ed…a514backed Over59c62.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8955…3a83backed Under56c62.5$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0fb…8092backed Over44c59.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.61747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb302…702dbacked Under65c59.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.392564%16 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over34c55.26$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4715470.8%109 W · 45 L+22.5wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.511844.9%53 W · 65 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under68c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3433551.3%172 W · 163 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Under69c50$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.51662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Over77c48.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.055058%29 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over34c44.74$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5318851.6%97 W · 91 L+13.2wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcc7a…ad52backed Over36c44.44$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4b05…17f1backed Over42c41.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aaf…530dbacked Under60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255068%34 W · 16 L+6.1wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked Under27c40.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.071030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.