TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc306…3bb9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: MLB, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 55 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT2060%12 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Cubs vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$76.96
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$88.76
Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$143.85
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$117.39
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. KT Wizbacked Kiwoom Heroes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.38
Texas Rangers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.84
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$48.89
Chicago White Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$27.4
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$32.82
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$16.9
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.74
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$12.36
Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.34
Athletics vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.58
All 20 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.11
Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridisbacked Stefanos Sakellaridis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$91.66
Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Adam Waltonbacked Adam Walton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.82
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$106.75
Cincinnati Open: Titouan Droguet vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$20.04
Los Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Arthur Geabacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$70.38
Generali Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$56.38
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Tatjana Maria vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Jack Draper vs Gabriel Diallobacked Gabriel Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Juan Manuel Cerundolobacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Brisbane International: Mirra Andreeva vs Linda Noskovabacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$67
Brisbane International: Dayana Yastremska vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+54.1%+$14.62
All 14 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+95.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Marcio Barbosa vs. Ryan Kuse (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Kuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chidi Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$146
UFC 330: Lucas Fernando vs. Rafael Tobias (Light Heavyweight, Early Prelims)backed Rafael Tobias · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
UFC 330: Jeremiah Wells vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Jeremiah Wells · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+900%+$495
UFC Fight Night: Brendson Ribeiro vs. Magomed Tuchalov (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brendson Ribeiro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Axel Sola (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Ismael Bonfim · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 7 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+206.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBAlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Dallas Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.17
Phoenix Mercury vs. Indiana Feverbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Minnesota Lynx vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlas FC vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$86
Will Club Santos Laguna vs. Atlas FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.