Mls · resolved market
Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e1d28a73496a94bb8071729a05360f46e9c121331215ff39c490d55c7c8690b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,995
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,995 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 26c | 27,062$6,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,968.35 | 355 | 50.4%179 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 74c | 21,863$16,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,684.47 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 26c | 17,338$4,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,471.7 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 27c | 12,425$3,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.34 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 11,912$8,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,037.33 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed No | 73c | 7,853$5,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.4 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 75c | 5,140$3,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.05 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 14c | 3,944$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.26 | 97 | 26.8%26 W · 71 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 75c | 1,992$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.02 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 23c | 1,958$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.26 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 75c | 1,782$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.12 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 74c | 1,600$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.89 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 69c | 1,389$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.95 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 75c | 1,274$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.64 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed Yes | 46c | 1,160$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.98 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 75c | 937.38$699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.01 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 79c | 870.86$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.85 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Yes | 26c | 811$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.86 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 795.61$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.89 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 76c | 735$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 74c | 675$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.5 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 76c | 659.18$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.58 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 76c | 577.03$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…3bb9backed Yes | 20c | 504.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 77c | 492.57$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.84 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 478.47$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.4 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 25c | 443.15$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.22 | 394 | 35.8%141 W · 253 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 442.85$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.91 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 390$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.26 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 77c | 370.44$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.21 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 77c | 317.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.22 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 290$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 75c | 278.97$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.74 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 26c | 278.37$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.9 | 220 | 42.7%94 W · 126 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 27c | 266$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.11 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 252$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0f…b7aebacked Yes | 26c | 224.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.37 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 75c | 217.19$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.3 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes | 26c | 211.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 209.05$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 22c | 156.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 802 | 49.8%399 W · 403 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 76c | 153.78$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 65c | 149.51$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 92 | 39.1%36 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 74c | 128$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 66c | 125.83$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.45 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 120.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 25c | 119.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed No | 80c | 119$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 76c | 118.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 72c | 118.14$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.08 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 74c | 112.5$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…b3a6backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 105$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 30c | 105$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.22 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…920dbacked No | 74c | 104$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 28c | 103.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…450bbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed No | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 25c | 88.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…7172backed Yes | 22c | 85.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 53c | 83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 75c | 82.66$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Yes | 22c | 82.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebe…72f2backed Yes | 22c | 81.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82f…aba0backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 68.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f1…4d6ebacked No | 74c | 64.73$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 27c | 63.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73be…16f5backed No | 75c | 60.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…6aa2backed Yes | 24c | 59.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked Yes | 27c | 59.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead9…27d2backed Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 57.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b40…230cbacked No | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 79c | 54$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 59c | 51.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 75c | 51.29$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed No | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 79c | 49.65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…c07abacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c17…2c8bbacked Yes | 26c | 48.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 75c | 43.1$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 443 | 50.6%224 W · 219 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef1…4a76backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 32c | 34.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7245…4b00backed No | 76c | 33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Seattle Sounders FC win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Seattle Sounders FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.