TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2167…5ded

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
205
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: UFC, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category UFC at 56 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7156.3%40 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 71 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$58.33
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$15.04
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$17.35
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$35.47
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.11
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$30.55
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$36.73
Spread: England (-2.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+146.9%+$36.73
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$33.51
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+830.2%+$207.56
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$16.84
France vs. Spain: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.98
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$33.14
Showing 25 of 71 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2777.8%21 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick67cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chidi Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$17.12
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
UFC Fight Night: Milos Janicic vs. Noah Gugnon (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Noah Gugnon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.02
UFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Michael Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Bogdan Grad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.64
UFC Fight Night: Hailey Cowan vs. Nina Miloševic (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Nina Miloševic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.25
UFC Fight Night: Stephanie Luciano vs. Marina Spasic (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Stephanie Luciano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Christian Leroy Duncan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
UFC Fight Night: Austin Bashi vs. Jose Miguel Delgado (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Jose Miguel Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Lone'er Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Manuel Torres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Asu Almabayev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
UFC Fight Night: Javier Reyes vs. Kaan Ofli (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Javier Reyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Jean Matsumoto vs. Bekzat Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Jean Matsumoto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.32
UFC Fight Night: Kyoji Horiguchi vs. Manel Kape (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kyoji Horiguchi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Christian Rodriguez vs. Hyder Amil (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Christian Rodriguez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
UFC Fight Night: Melsik Baghdasaryan vs. Murtazali Magomedov (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Murtazali Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Vinicius Oliveira (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Vinicius Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$9.72
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Fight Night: Karol Rosa vs. Luana Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Luana Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
UFC Fight Night: Leon Shahbazyan vs. Levan Chokheli (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Levan Chokheli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.05
UFC Fight Night: Otari Tanzilovi vs. Shane Collins (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Shane Collins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will SC Internacional win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CA Talleres: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.53
Spread: CA Vélez Sarsfield (-1.5)backed CSyD Defensa y Justicia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$7.89
Will CA Independiente win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-08-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Tucumán: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Club Tijuana win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$48.53
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$26.94
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.34
Will CA Aldosivi win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$10.21
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Barracas Central end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
All 18 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+33.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: G2 Esports vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
LoL: SK Gaming vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+39%+$19.5
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.45
LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$18.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+140.5%+$70.25
All 11 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.83
Will Beşiktaş JK vs. Eyüpspor end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.47
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-08-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.25
Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will SK Brann win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$39.1
Will FC København win on 2026-08-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Brøndby IF win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Molde FK win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commoditieslast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on August 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 25?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 25?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $85 on August 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on August 25?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 Week of August 17 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 Week of August 17 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 17 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $84 on August 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 17?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$26.02
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Buccaneers vs. Jets: 1H Moneylinebacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$12.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
AIlast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.