Bundesliga · resolved market
Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc452ecb1b81621f8eceee8101bfaa7b8675007d153a868471b9ddc4f5d6b787b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,133
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 11,748$9,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,204 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 18c | 8,582$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,046.83 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 32c | 5,551$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,775 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed Yes | 66c | 4,745$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481d…9098backed Yes | 36c | 4,306$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,755.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed No | 26c | 3,901$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 64c | 3,058$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,956.87 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 67c | 2,417$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.19 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed No | 34c | 1,987$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.73 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 1,860$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330.56 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 74c | 1,654$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.02 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 1,522$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.22 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 32c | 744$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.92 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 683.32$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.54 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 34c | 676$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.71 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Yes | 34c | 659.71$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.41 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 66c | 615.81$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.44 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 38c | 586.1$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.16 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…83a8backed Yes | 68c | 454.72$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541c…a7ecbacked Yes | 36c | 447.31$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 26c | 377.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa8…4de1backed Yes | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 34c | 322.93$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.84 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 307.11$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.65 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0ad9backed Yes | 61c | 297.46$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 290$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.9 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 275$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 275$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 68c | 242.38$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.08 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3820…ffc3backed Yes | 32c | 237.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 55c | 234.88$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.85 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe053…fd08backed Yes | 63c | 230.73$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 74c | 220$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed Yes | 77c | 207.57$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b03…b127backed Yes | 25c | 199.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 9c | 198.45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 34c | 173.53$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03fd…2cd4backed No | 28c | 171.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x95c5…d5d3backed No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 34c | 149.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…98eebacked Yes | 30c | 146.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 43c | 140.1$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…99a6backed No | 73c | 139.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed No | 64c | 124$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.36 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 25c | 110.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.23 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed No | 60c | 102$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.48 | 97 | 42.3%41 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Yes | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 62c | 99.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.96 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 36c | 97.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 68c | 95.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…1aa7backed Yes | 36c | 93.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +174%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 65c | 88$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 226 | 69%156 W · 70 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e8…a5f9backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 81.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 22c | 80.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8956…755fbacked Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 27c | 78.78$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.51 | 105 | 32.4%34 W · 71 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 36c | 76.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.33 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 62c | 71.15$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 17c | 70.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.88 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28b…60c6backed Yes | 74c | 67.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 59c | 66.44$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d13…082cbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +130.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 40c | 57.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 35c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked No | 35c | 47.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 65c | 46.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 65c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…30aabacked Yes | 59c | 42.93$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…d4c6backed No | 34c | 39.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 51c | 38.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 222 | 45.9%102 W · 120 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 34c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked No | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df8…4e03backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…795abacked Yes | 70c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6522…3a5abacked No | 65c | 22.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 64c | 22.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 66c | 22.2$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked No | 65c | 21.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 67c | 21.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 66c | 19.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 75c | 14.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-08-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.