Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-08-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x651a670a0e63e28849da89004ecf83c0837fb4dc1950ad4ff4aae8a29e327252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,825
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,825 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 43c | 31,244$13,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,420.36 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 58c | 12,308$7,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,176.86 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 10,856$6,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,612.25 | 283 | 45.2%128 W · 155 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 41c | 10,790$4,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes | 42c | 9,258$3,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,888 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 58c | 5,028$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,113.56 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 58c | 4,729$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,997.12 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 59c | 4,108$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,695.56 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 3,651$2,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.69 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 3,536$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,514.32 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 41c | 2,739$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.76 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 57c | 2,631$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Yes | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 2,204$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.72 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Yes | 43c | 1,583$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes | 41c | 1,443$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…9fc9backed No | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 740.5$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.03 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked No | 56c | 638$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked No | 56c | 638$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 58c | 614.31$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.85 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.4wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 57c | 526.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 57c | 526.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 57c | 500.63$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.38 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…683ebacked No | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb3…f890backed No | 62c | 496.12$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.39 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed No | 58c | 495.04$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…23d9backed Yes | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed No | 60c | 469.02$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 43c | 465$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 414$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.58 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 57c | 409.35$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.02 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 58c | 409$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.63 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 42c | 374.64$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.39 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed No | 56c | 357.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 57c | 340.28$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.83 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Yes | 3c | 333.34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Yes | 46c | 328.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Yes | 43c | 298.4$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…44e9backed No | 58c | 258.49$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.57 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc959…c37fbacked Yes | 30c | 254.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed No | 57c | 253.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…7633backed Yes | 43c | 244.19$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 234.8$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.27 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked Yes | 43c | 205.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 6c | 199.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…c62dbacked No | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 23c | 151.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 65c | 150$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 62c | 150$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 44c | 140$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.4 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 58c | 103.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 101.88$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.85 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ede…23e5backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed No | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Yes | 35c | 96.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 45c | 96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 62c | 83.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 62c | 79.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 78c | 78.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 60c | 71.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.55 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6d01backed No | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…f8b3backed Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…6f17backed Yes | 41c | 59.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5891…4912backed No | 69c | 51.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…aa65backed No | 69c | 51.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 24c | 50.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 43c | 48.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x833c…ac24backed No | 60c | 47.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed No | 56c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 59c | 41.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43f7…e591backed No | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…248abacked No | 56c | 39.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 34c | 39.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 60c | 38.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 62c | 36.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed No | 58c | 35.74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 34c | 35.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 61c | 34.01$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed No | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 35c | 31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 42c | 28.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 57c | 27.93$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-08-16?this page
- Will Hannover 96 vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?No won
- Will VfL Wolfsburg win on 2026-08-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.