TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe577…6d01

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Lol, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Miami Marlins vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.1
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.69
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$33.3
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$41.25
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$38.99
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$61.75
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$19.8
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.8
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$26.66
All 15 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Elche CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.85
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$22.26
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-08-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-08-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$24
Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.4
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$22.8
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Sevilla FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.6
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chelsea FC (-1.5)backed Fulham FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$17.5
Sheffield United FC vs. Birmingham City FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.2
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-08-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$30.8
Bristol City FC vs. Millwall FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.94
Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Caty McNally vs Anna Kalinskayabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$30.1
National Bank Open: Nuno Borges vs Luciano Darderibacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$58.9
National Bank Open: Alina Korneeva vs Emma Navarrobacked Emma Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallobacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$50.15
National Bank Open: Clara Tauson vs Nikola Bartunkovabacked Clara Tauson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.4
Canadian Open: Matteo Berrettini vs Mariano Navonebacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.38
National Bank Open: James Duckworth vs Christopher O'Connellbacked Christopher O'Connell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.2
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodarbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.6
Bonn: Jamie Mackenzie vs Max Dahlinbacked Max Dahlin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.71
All 9 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs SPARTA (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #5 Playoffsbacked SPARTA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$40.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesligalast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$24.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.