Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x840a277c6ed4b3d7dd93c05b893fb3ed0fd89c3ef9eb1726c89e85f44d5b6e7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frosinone Calcioof Juventus FC, Frosinone Calcio
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Juventus FC | 44c | 12,980$5,711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,711.2 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Frosinone Calcio | 56c | 10,341$5,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,550.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Juventus FC | 50c | 6,183$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.08 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Frosinone Calcio | 40c | 4,168$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,516.03 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Frosinone Calcio | 54c | 3,131$1,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,445.11 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Frosinone Calcio | 57c | 2,230$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.49 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Juventus FC | 65c | 1,800$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Frosinone Calcio | 56c | 1,464$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.25 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Frosinone Calcio | 45c | 1,068$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Juventus FC | 60c | 1,031$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.03 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked Frosinone Calcio | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Juventus FC | 53c | 920.75$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juventus FC | 42c | 888.6$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.46 | 326 | 50.6%165 W · 161 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Frosinone Calcio | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.32 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f5…ab8cbacked Juventus FC | 44c | 503.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Juventus FC | 42c | 470.89$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…2e29backed Juventus FC | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Juventus FC | 58c | 349.98$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1425…6e0cbacked Juventus FC | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…5d6ebacked Frosinone Calcio | 57c | 254.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Frosinone Calcio | 57c | 224.98$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.72 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Frosinone Calcio | 43c | 134.47$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.65 | 204 | 52%106 W · 98 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Frosinone Calcio | 56c | 133.64$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Frosinone Calcio | 57c | 128.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbae1…d8abbacked Juventus FC | 44c | 114.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Frosinone Calcio | 57c | 112.41$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.34 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaff6…d1fdbacked Juventus FC | 45c | 109.98$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Juventus FC | 44c | 106.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…138fbacked Juventus FC | 46c | 100.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Frosinone Calcio | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Juventus FC | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Juventus FC | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Juventus FC | 48c | 85$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…5067backed Juventus FC | 41c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Juventus FC | 44c | 76.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Frosinone Calcio | 57c | 68.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2889…edcfbacked Juventus FC | 44c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd924…7bc2backed Juventus FC | 59c | 55.93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe577…6d01backed Frosinone Calcio | 58c | 43.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Juventus FC | 37c | 39.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Frosinone Calcio | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Frosinone Calcio | 56c | 36.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc28b…3683backed Juventus FC | 44c | 36.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…5ae1backed Juventus FC | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Frosinone Calcio | 35c | 30.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Frosinone Calcio | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Juventus FC | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Frosinone Calcio | 58c | 25.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb50f…78c8backed Juventus FC | 59c | 25.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Frosinone Calcio | 63c | 23.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e90…4f65backed Frosinone Calcio | 59c | 21.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.89 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…3cc1backed Frosinone Calcio | 66c | 19.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)this page
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 0.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 1.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 2.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Frosinone Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.