TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,025

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,020 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd679…91a0backed Under44c3,000$1,320 inWon+$1,679.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c2,940$1,610 inLost-$1,610.132,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over56c690.45$386 inLost-$386.4727453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41de…deedbacked Under44c471.3$207 inWon+$263.93475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+81.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under44c163.61$72 inWon+$91.268962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbbdd…bd60backed Under44c110$48 inWon+$61.95714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over56c68.31$39 inLost-$38.5565254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over57c56$32 inLost-$31.925339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Over56c49.6$28 inLost-$27.722634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under43c46.51$20 inWon+$26.511566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over57c40.65$23 inLost-$23.178958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under44c37.14$16 inWon+$20.82190.5%19 W · 2 L+8.0wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+89.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over56c28$16 inLost-$15.6818951.3%97 W · 92 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under45c27.78$13 inWon+$15.282272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.