TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$145,045
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$149,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,045 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked Over54c87,918$47,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,544.132634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.6wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-30.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed Under46c16,735$7,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,092.14475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c10,612$5,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,604.382,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe954…1ef1backed Under45c10,336$4,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,633.59580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under60c9,061$5,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,635.1134239.2%134 W · 208 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c8,335$3,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,538.49742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over59c7,298$4,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,306.1118923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under46c7,100$3,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,828666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under45c7,076$3,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,866.8141954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under40c5,514$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,313.64837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c5,050$2,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,636.321,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under46c5,048$2,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.0527453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over61c4,098$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5003447.1%16 W · 18 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Over41c4,000$1,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.983100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under46c3,284$1,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,786.772770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.5wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+42.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under45c3,273$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,808.595158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Under41c2,778$1,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,637.65771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c2,762$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,509.0698544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe5b…8abcbacked Under39c2,564$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,564.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under46c2,439$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.1268750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over41c2,208$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.349850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c1,967$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.6451139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under45c1,795$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.258548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under46c1,200$552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64822551.6%116 W · 109 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over57c1,044$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.9732650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under47c1,019$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.022560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53012357.7%71 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Over41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked Under41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5902748.1%13 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under47c1,000$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5303571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over1c889.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under55c794.55$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$356.8922545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over27c735.4$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.4530828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.824647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under40c672.57$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5439354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over55c574.04$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.0112350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under47c543.43$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.367045.7%32 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under46c537$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Under65c521.54$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…683ebacked Under46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+29.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Under44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Under41c485.36$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Under66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over43c417.64$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.599950.5%50 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Under42c350$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed Under47c347.1$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.241080%8 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+42.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over54c304.5$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.436328.6%18 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under45c302.54$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.44940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under47c300$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over61c284.78$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.7491043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over48c281.08$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.343545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504e…7ad9backed Under41c255$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+144.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5180…9cf1backed Over60c241.67$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under39c215.01$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.232854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x085d…c89ebacked Under44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1121464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under50c190.11$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.18958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c188$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7634553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ddd…8011backed Over56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick51cpaid+70.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9152…abfbbacked Under80c175$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008858%51 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under45c136.5$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.62190.5%19 W · 2 L+8.0wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+89.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.872466.7%16 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212470.8%17 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+20.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under43c123.52$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.411770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under46c118.28$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.482842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4849…767fbacked Over61c118.03$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under26c113.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.2439740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6515…b867backed Under42c113.19$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under47c113$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.716155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under40c109.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.27552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over55c100.35$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.253655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558962.9%56 W · 33 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+32.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under41c100$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5913146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ede…23e5backed Under45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+43.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under46c99$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.461782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under48c98$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.96475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under43c93.02$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.021758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under47c88.69$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.3265254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under56c88.32$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.563557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under46c86.58$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+58.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over60c83.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017958.7%105 W · 74 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Under44c78.56$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.992100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+79%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6bf…9ac0backed Over66c75.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Under48c70.06$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.52166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over57c70$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.96544.6%29 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Under47c67.89$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.981747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over59c67.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under45c66.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.661566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8955…3a83backed Over57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Under42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over61c53.93$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.795843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd924…7bc2backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3040%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Under41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f41…8f27backed Over59c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49f4…a7c9backed Under43c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7285…3273backed Under41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under56c45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.595339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1160…f722backed Under45c44.51$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.