Serie A · resolved market
Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0befb0619794ee33dc2bfc5c063010c0540c8e13039048db5ce36c8466fb57e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 42c | 7,750$3,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,244.68 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Under | 77c | 4,124$3,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Under | 77c | 2,163$1,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.07 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Under | 76c | 1,959$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Under | 77c | 1,919$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeda…8e35backed Over | 23c | 1,611$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 28c | 1,406$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.59 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 59c | 688.74$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.78 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 59c | 642.7$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.19 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2918…fe4abacked Over | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…e756backed Under | 43c | 452.65$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 29c | 451.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.89 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 37c | 410.96$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.3 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 58c | 310.34$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Under | 51c | 294.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Under | 24c | 275.22$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.27 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 20c | 271.75$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.4 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 79c | 265.48$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.73 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Over | 80c | 250$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 21c | 249.59$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.28 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x722a…d6edbacked Over | 78c | 212.88$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 35c | 200.06$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 200$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 65c | 168.45$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.1 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 164.52$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 20c | 145.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…8d20backed Over | 8c | 130$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 41c | 120.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.46 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd176…78bbbacked Over | 60c | 119.3$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 22c | 114.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.17 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 20c | 96.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.31 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +8.0wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 45c | 89.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 45c | 89.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +113.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Over | 36c | 88.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Over | 33c | 88.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49a9…82b9backed Over | 65c | 77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45a3…78b4backed Under | 76c | 73.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 25c | 67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 38c | 64.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…e8b9backed Under | 50c | 64.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…df19backed Over | 60c | 61.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d41…6a2ebacked Under | 48c | 60.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e66…01cbbacked Over | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 29c | 58.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 18c | 58.06$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Over | 25c | 57.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Under | 37c | 53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 22c | 49.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…abfbbacked Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e93…80d6backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Under | 61c | 38.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 49c | 37.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8806…2e83backed Under | 70c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…9895backed Under | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c7…7910backed Over | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39e1…2c83backed Over | 79c | 28.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 25.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed Under | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d4…4ebcbacked Over | 55c | 23.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…fe8dbacked Over | 77c | 16.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 0.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 1.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 2.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Frosinone Calcio won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Frosinone Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.