TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,501
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,501 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1eef…83aabacked Over48c2,000$960 inLost-$96010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under48c1,793$862 inWon+$931.291,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under65c999.87$650 inWon+$349.953571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over35c709.6$248 inLost-$248.361838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c574.69$303 inWon+$272.122,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed Over40c415.95$166 inLost-$166.381010%1 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick36cpaid-72.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Over49c390.07$190 inLost-$1901225%3 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-49.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under74c154.97$115 inWon+$40.296155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Over36c145$52 inLost-$52.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under64c91.43$59 inWon+$32.9127453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under61c88.82$54 inWon+$34.6468750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under50c80.9$40 inWon+$40.458548.2%41 W · 44 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c48.82$19 inLost-$19.0419042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Under53c47.32$25 inWon+$22.241656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over39c40$16 inLost-$15.6520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over56c37.08$21 inLost-$20.761637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Over56c37.07$21 inLost-$20.761435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-33.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under64c35.25$23 inWon+$12.692190.5%19 W · 2 L+8.0wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+89.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under47c30$14 inWon+$15.951139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over44c30$13 inLost-$13.23655.6%20 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Under70c24.29$17 inWon+$7.292161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed Under65c15.73$10 inWon+$5.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-48.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.