TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,697
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$51,646

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,697 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under67c8,223$5,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,713.452536%9 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over25c7,914$2,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,011.992,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over14c3,905$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.551,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over41c3,700$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over13c3,143$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.2351139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over17c2,877$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.5230828.9%89 W · 219 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under68c1,949$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$624.8568750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-62.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Under63c1,445$906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over38c1,209$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.5232650.6%165 W · 161 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over37c1,024$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.6718923.8%45 W · 144 L-13.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33039354.2%213 W · 180 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Under70c999.99$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3003571.4%25 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over25c971.04$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.612350.4%62 W · 61 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over36c944.4$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.2819042.6%81 W · 109 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Under64c864.8$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.85771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Over36c800.86$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.316936.2%25 W · 44 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90cf…6cc2backed Under65c613.25$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over33c612.2$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.035158.8%30 W · 21 L+6.6wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+31.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Under67c597.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.014647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over31c564.96$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5327453.3%146 W · 128 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under63c364.39$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.822560%15 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+23.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Under53c358.91$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.694623.9%11 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under67c299.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.51875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over33c273.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3632854.3%178 W · 150 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under73c273.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd8…e787backed Over34c258$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under69c225.92$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1722545.3%102 W · 123 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a08…882dbacked Under67c223.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.88366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over15c170.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1839740.6%161 W · 236 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29d2…7babbacked Under64c169$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+55.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc88…25dabacked Over28c167.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8960%0 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Over30c164.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.345623.2%13 W · 43 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240a…814cbacked Under63c163.01$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.311770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Over33c158$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.14520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19d0…2101backed Under75c132.37$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe904…44e9backed Over33c127.27$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over33c117.38$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7841954.7%229 W · 190 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under70c114.29$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.297248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under63c109.99$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.97552%39 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a9…df08backed Under67c104$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+45%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over38c94.33$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.765843.1%25 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Under62c85.48$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.481947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…b506backed Over13c81.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.291030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-54.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under65c80.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3565254.1%353 W · 299 L+19.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88c5…4815backed Over33c77.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.531618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.25per pick44cpaid-61.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over23c76.79$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.637846.2%36 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe026…f409backed Over33c72.85$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked Under70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.431369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Over27c70.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.113050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a40…007abacked Under73c68.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Under65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1818125.4%46 W · 135 L-18.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-45.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Under67c54.55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa187…aa65backed Under67c52.24$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…96f8backed Over38c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d9…1059backed Over47c42.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.16666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over32c42.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.61838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3303…9895backed Under73c41.1$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf91c…926dbacked Under73c40.99$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e17…2412backed Under67c40.75$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+29.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over30c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16155.7%34 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over30c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.13545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Over31c37$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.45339.6%21 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under68c35.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.282190.5%19 W · 2 L+8.0wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+89.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Over30c35.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.632634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-35.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under69c34.95$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+58.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Under64c34.29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.34666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under69c34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.653557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Under63c33$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.211782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.791942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95f1…953cbacked Under65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Under66c30.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc6c3…a6e8backed Under56c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.22157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under72c22.5$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.331738.8%123 W · 194 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccb7…0477backed Under68c21.82$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.98862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1715…a049backed Under67c21.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.012272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick59cpaid+24.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f1d…5ae6backed Under73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick77cpaid+31%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under59c17.17$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.041637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.