Serie A · resolved market
Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11218f1c6e86f0df4565a515c99b2f3e4b4d97d7e63eb5a4565e2cd8273c063d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,779
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,779 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed No | 63c | 15,565$9,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,824.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 36c | 6,275$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.5 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…73cebacked Yes | 40c | 4,961$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 40c | 4,742$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890.17 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 47c | 1,660$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked No | 51c | 1,200$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.94 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 60c | 1,125$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.03 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 53c | 999.94$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.97 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 48c | 999.89$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.95 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 52c | 641.5$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.41 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Yes | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Yes | 51c | 423.16$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.66 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…1435backed No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 33c | 347.96$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 53c | 299.98$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 74c | 294.54$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.57 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 38c | 286.17$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.77 | 397 | 40.6%161 W · 236 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 51c | 275.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.2 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2a…39bdbacked No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 62c | 237$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.94 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 40c | 231.81$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.93 | 225 | 45.3%102 W · 123 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…490ebacked No | 69c | 145.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 51c | 144.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.27 | 21 | 90.5%19 W · 2 L | +8.0wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 37c | 119.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.94 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71fe…d3ccbacked Yes | 51c | 117.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 23c | 115.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.72 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -58%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes | 37c | 112$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…1366backed Yes | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 24c | 81.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee9c…c449backed Yes | 39c | 75.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x131c…6816backed Yes | 39c | 65.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 47c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed No | 48c | 56.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 54c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 35.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 652 | 54.1%353 W · 299 L | +19.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 49c | 31.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 49c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 53c | 30.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.24 | 418 | 54.8%229 W · 189 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 181 | 25.4%46 W · 135 L | -18.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 52c | 29.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 51c | 29.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…1f57backed Yes | 42c | 28.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 41c | 26.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 89 | 58.4%52 W · 37 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Yes | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 49c | 22.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 44cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x08f3…f168backed No | 64c | 22.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x623f…47fdbacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 0.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 1.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Frosinone Calcio O/U 2.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: Juventus FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-1.5)Frosinone Calcio won
- Spread: Juventus FC (-2.5)Frosinone Calcio won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.