TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x13a0…e8b9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
115
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT5251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$32.16
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$35.24
Argentina vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Norway vs. England: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.59
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$15.97
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+282.6%+$225.59
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.88
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.98
France vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$28.43
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+81.9%+$44.94
France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.88
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+48.2%+$9.25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.99
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$21.38
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.65
France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$12.98
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$30.93
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+610.8%+$122.16
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Saudi Arabia O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$9.19
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+53%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+73.8%+$17.53
Arsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+126.1%+$69.35
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Manchester United win on 2025-10-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Tottenham win on 2025-10-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$25.45
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Everton win on 2025-09-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2025-09-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+400%+$40
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-08-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-08-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 1, 2025, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Manchester City win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Newcastle United win on 2025-10-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Tottenham Hotspur win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Olympique Marseille win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Will Atalanta win on 2025-09-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Slavia Praha win on 2025-09-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Arsenal win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Barcelona win on 2025-04-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2025, EST-100%-$150
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick64cpaid-65.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+15.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie Alast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Frosinone Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+100.6%+$32.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. Lille OSC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+87.7%+$30.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nashville SC vs. Atlanta United FC: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.