Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Mjallby AIF vs. AIK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa542ba8290c7ca4b64257715c3ba2d2275fc0887d91aab723cdbc3a3b5d3b3ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0467…fb2ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,232$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 75c | 1,782$1,337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.59 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 3c | 1,363$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 75c | 361.79$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.45 | 460 | 44.3%204 W · 256 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 74c | 336.94$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 74c | 253.13$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 26c | 221.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.74 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Yes | 21c | 182.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 166.35$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.25 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x914b…e406backed No | 75c | 133.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8c…2799backed Yes | 42c | 119.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Yes | 26c | 115.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +7.7wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +257.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe3…bbd2backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27b4…f911backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 74c | 54.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 27c | 48.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 21.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a0…e8b9backed No | 60c | 19.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Mjallby AIF vs. AIK end in a draw?this page
- Will AIK win on 2026-07-11?Yes won
- Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.