Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AIK win on 2026-07-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30be47557b14bcf055c37bc9861fbc5c8a7527ccdc24fa029bd5c3af118ccf80
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,215
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,215 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 14c | 3,319$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.3 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…c6b3backed No | 37c | 1,353$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 1,208$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.84 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 26c | 1,159$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.22 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 32c | 1,004$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.24 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked No | 69c | 810$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.9 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 613.76$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.88 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked No | 36c | 510$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.82 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 6c | 481.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 58c | 478.69$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.7 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f4…9efdbacked No | 75c | 466.67$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dae…125cbacked Yes | 33c | 460$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed No | 67c | 445$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.15 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed No | 65c | 338$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x690b…bd2cbacked Yes | 72c | 279.58$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…bbbabacked Yes | 35c | 274$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.1 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 20c | 262.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.79 | 237 | 47.7%113 W · 124 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 216.66$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.66 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 209.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.89 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 147 | 59.9%88 W · 59 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed Yes | 56c | 199.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 16c | 185$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed No | 16c | 182$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed No | 16c | 179.23$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 68c | 176$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Yes | 26c | 152.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.88 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 69c | 142.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b50…ef4cbacked Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 8c | 129$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked No | 12c | 126.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 35c | 120.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 11c | 98.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 115 | 45.2%52 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 45c | 88.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.59 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 28c | 81.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 74c | 80$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Yes | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 63c | 56.76$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 56.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc986…1654backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked No | 32c | 53.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 48 | 27.1%13 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed No | 71c | 52.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.11 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 28c | 51$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 42c | 47.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc7…f911backed Yes | 38c | 44.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Yes | 25c | 44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 40c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf49a…896ebacked Yes | 79c | 43.21$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083e…81a1backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked No | 72c | 41.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 35.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd5…e2e7backed No | 73c | 21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf37e…2709backed Yes | 74c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc3…c9f1backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -9.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed Yes | 75c | 16.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 75c | 15.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked No | 73c | 14.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…26edbacked No | 72c | 13.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AIK win on 2026-07-11?this page
- Will Mjallby AIF vs. AIK end in a draw?No won
- Will Mjallby AIF win on 2026-07-11?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.