TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb9ab…c6b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$64.9
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,908Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$2,283.38
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$310.58
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$333.33
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$493.36
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.97
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$176.19
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$117.46
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+47.6%+$333.26
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$351.35
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$261.49
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$75
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-06-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$53.16
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$249.35
Will Morocco win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$130
All 17 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kristiansund BK win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$790.53
Will AIK win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Lillestrøm SK win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Fredrikstad FK vs. Lillestrøm SK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$266.13
IF Elfsborg vs. Hammarby IF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.6%+$427.97
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-05-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will CD Tondela win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.35
Will Eyüpspor win on 2026-04-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$11.62
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$144.87
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-04-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.59
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+75.6%+$88.39
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-12-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+40.8%+$57.18
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$157.8
Will Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$44.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$52.49
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$534
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$103.69
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick62cpaid-50.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+109.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Joventutbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$113.24
Basquet Club Andorra vs. Barcelonabacked Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$82.66
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahcebacked Zalgiris Kaunas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Real Madrid vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$121.85
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-67.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+148.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$129.26
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.