La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x46eb58d84bd4646cfb45c833da6a7f7048c160b144e491636f3b5770fedaab4e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 390 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 56c | 53,709$29,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,876.92 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 39,996$18,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,139.79 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 36,221$20,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,216.42 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 44c | 21,337$9,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,952.16 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 44c | 17,900$7,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,023.97 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 46c | 17,301$7,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,342.5 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 54c | 16,000$8,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,639.99 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 15,523$7,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,837.58 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.94 | 241 | 45.2%109 W · 132 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 45c | 9,000$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,950 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 45c | 7,869$3,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,339.77 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 45c | 6,835$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,788.36 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,800 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,799.96 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 47c | 4,597$2,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,455.85 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 44c | 4,435$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,487.76 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Yes | 54c | 4,309$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.77 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 44c | 3,989$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,216.44 | 1,176 | 51.9%610 W · 566 L | +18.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 59c | 3,666$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.15 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…0c4bbacked No | 44c | 2,614$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,463.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed No | 44c | 2,600$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.86 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26e7…cc6cbacked No | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.22 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 55c | 2,182$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2923…a6c5backed Yes | 52c | 2,143$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 44c | 2,141$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.96 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed No | 45c | 2,111$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,161.11 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed No | 44c | 2,074$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.8 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 55c | 2,061$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.54 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 41c | 1,993$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.39 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 45c | 1,862$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 50c | 1,825$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.13 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c9…3a79backed Yes | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 44c | 1,780$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.78 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +274.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed No | 45c | 1,714$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.52 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7750…a3f3backed Yes | 46c | 1,626$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 45c | 1,577$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.21 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 55c | 1,522$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.39 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27b2…865ebacked Yes | 46c | 1,509$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.18 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed No | 44c | 1,406$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 51c | 1,308$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.09 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…198fbacked Yes | 50c | 1,299$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.98 | 143 | 48.3%69 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 55c | 1,197$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.54 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 34c | 1,180$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.11 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +249.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 45c | 1,129$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.42 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed No | 44c | 1,004$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x422c…9840backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 45c | 1,000$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked No | 45c | 995.56$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.56 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5873…f69abacked Yes | 13c | 984.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.94 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd951…f30bbacked Yes | 56c | 929.64$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba4…c08bbacked Yes | 55c | 910$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6211…513bbacked Yes | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…7d67backed Yes | 56c | 887.86$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed No | 46c | 871.46$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…359bbacked Yes | 56c | 803.57$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 45c | 800.56$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.31 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…7616backed Yes | 55c | 708.58$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.72 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 51cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed No | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.67 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8f…c146backed Yes | 52c | 650$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7fd…6c23backed Yes | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…958dbacked Yes | 52c | 599.46$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.9 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 45c | 567$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.85 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…617dbacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed No | 46c | 541.96$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.66 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Yes | 57c | 527.88$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Yes | 56c | 504$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.24 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa0…833bbacked No | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12c6…0691backed Yes | 55c | 500$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…6258backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0724…9091backed No | 45c | 485.76$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.17 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 38c | 485.59$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.31 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 52c | 483.57$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.32 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 63c | 470.5$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.41 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…dd26backed No | 46c | 470$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 53c | 452.74$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.95 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 46c | 432.86$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.74 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 56c | 428.57$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…abfebacked Yes | 53c | 399.9$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.95 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed No | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 53c | 374.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…10a3backed Yes | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e66…53dfbacked Yes | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Yes | 57c | 353.61$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.81 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9b…f4edbacked Yes | 55c | 352.72$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecf…9e86backed Yes | 59c | 340.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 49c | 328.44$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.51 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
- Will Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.