La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee91bc3378ac849123ec78d16906408f1edbc7be79abb6a31e1199462548bb12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,274
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,274 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 10,628$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,551.15 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 18c | 5,688$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,664.56 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 4,783$1,711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,072.12 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 19c | 3,601$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,916.48 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed Yes | 19c | 3,198$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.08 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 19c | 3,000$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.95 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e73…c4ecbacked No | 1c | 2,714$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.14 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 46c | 2,488$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.41 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad1…6d88backed No | 80c | 1,763$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24da…9561backed Yes | 18c | 1,675$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,367.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 3c | 1,583$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 2c | 1,310$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,269$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.69 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Yes | 19c | 999.96$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.97 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Yes | 18c | 972.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$797.09 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 18c | 840$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.8 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe09…7acebacked No | 51c | 776.31$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed Yes | 26c | 702.6$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.94 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 19c | 678$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.18 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31ac…392cbacked No | 47c | 674$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe328…f4a3backed Yes | 20c | 621.81$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Yes | 20c | 615$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 53c | 610.17$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.78 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed No | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 53c | 596$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.12 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 21c | 526.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.32 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b3…442cbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 12c | 402.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Yes | 19c | 368$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.08 | 172 | 52.3%90 W · 82 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48de…95babacked Yes | 65c | 320.66$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.23 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 77c | 320$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed No | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked No | 40c | 250.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x678b…beafbacked No | 53c | 220.4$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Yes | 20c | 199.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.99 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 80c | 199.99$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.99 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 19c | 188$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Yes | 54c | 187.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 154 | 42.2%65 W · 89 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.58 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbb…92efbacked Yes | 19c | 125.93$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 18cpaid | +217.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 45c | 103.44$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39ad…887abacked Yes | 62c | 101.61$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff3…70e4backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.4wins | +0.36per pick | 38cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…01b0backed Yes | 20c | 94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed No | 38c | 88.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0891backed Yes | 21c | 63.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859d…3cecbacked Yes | 19c | 62.45$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 62c | 55.01$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c21…6ce6backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf388…daebbacked Yes | 65c | 42.98$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 37c | 36.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed No | 43c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 62c | 33.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 42c | 33.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe604…0f96backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…c858backed No | 54c | 22.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2392…ddcabacked Yes | 63c | 21.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes | 58c | 20.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ba…31dbbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…ff36backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 80cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-04?this page
- Will Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD end in a draw?No won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.