La Liga · resolved market
Will Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6b798e7cae95a04a953ff371c390f7264f9c63a1699c98b465d243c3cff646ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,292
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,296
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,292 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 28c | 8,478$2,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.93 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 26c | 6,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 74c | 5,262$3,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.02 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 2,604$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.6 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked No | 74c | 2,094$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.42 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 74c | 1,129$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.41 | 112 | 60.7%68 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked No | 74c | 1,122$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.79 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed No | 73c | 1,035$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.2 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 740$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.4 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 733.33$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.32 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 74c | 680$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 75c | 640$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Yes | 26c | 589.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.4 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 66c | 586.34$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.31 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 74c | 582.1$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 32c | 574.72$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.97 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…c8f2backed Yes | 32c | 560.84$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 522$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…0560backed No | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 77c | 449.49$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.38 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes | 26c | 448.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89fd…da5dbacked Yes | 34c | 388.09$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873a…2066backed No | 74c | 353.79$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.37 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 31c | 318.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 73c | 316.81$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.29 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 23c | 313$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.99 | 169 | 26%44 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 150 | 49.3%74 W · 76 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6467…7cadbacked Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed No | 67c | 262.29$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.7 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb16…9757backed No | 69c | 250.25$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb604…b046backed Yes | 26c | 246.63$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe351…e48dbacked Yes | 26c | 171.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 68c | 171.06$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…ab9abacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 70c | 146.4$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 30c | 116.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 68c | 104$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 145 | 74.5%108 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 70c | 101$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9dbabacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa122…9847backed No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe61b…915fbacked Yes | 31c | 63.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9651…0891backed Yes | 29c | 61.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554f…afb4backed Yes | 27c | 57.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 139 | 36%50 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 66c | 55.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 26c | 46.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 46.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…7bb3backed Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Yes | 26c | 41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 33c | 40.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 204 | 41.7%85 W · 119 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 38.94$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.39 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 75c | 32.42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked No | 74c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…7ae9backed No | 75c | 22.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 76cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cce…ebfebacked No | 74c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD end in a draw?this page
- Will Levante UD win on 2026-01-04?Yes won
- Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.