TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6467…7cad

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
176
Categories scored
27
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: Tennis, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 59 out of 100; worst AI at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1776.5%13 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+14.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.97
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Magic vs. Wizardsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hawks vs. Raptorsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+132.6%+$26.51
Pelicans vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.54
Timberwolves vs. Wizardsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Nuggets vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+31.6%+$63.16
Spurs vs. Pacersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Pelicans vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$703Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+47.1%+$331
Suns vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$33.33
Magic vs. Pacersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.7%+$153.01
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.56
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$300
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+53.6%+$214.4
Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+163.2%+$32.63
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+47.9%+$143.65
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+79%+$316.11
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.1%+$73.53
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Brentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+40.8%+$40.85
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+37.4%+$74.8
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Southampton FC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+25.8%+$77.34
Will Charlton Athletic FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+60.6%+$60.61
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$2,708Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+66.8%+$1,809.29
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$8,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$8,117.89
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$840
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+57%+$57
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+106.3%+$106.34
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+311.9%+$62.39
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+72.4%+$42.2
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$144
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+48.9%+$57.83
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$315.17
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+28.8%+$28.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Predators vs. Oilersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Avalanche vs. Lightningbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$12
SHL: Brynaes vs. Vaexjoebacked Brynaes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+61.3%+$12.26
SHL: Linkoeping vs. Froelunda HCbacked Froelunda HC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
SHL: Timraa vs. Oerebro HKbacked Oerebro HK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Wild vs. Kingsbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Kraken vs. Flamesbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+138.1%+$27.62
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+143.9%+$59
Ducks vs. Capitalsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Avalanche vs. Panthersbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Canadiens vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$77.78
Flyers vs. Oilersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$59.74
Golden Knights vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+53.8%+$64.52
Capitals vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+36.4%+$109.09
Wild vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+35.1%+$86.15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Massachusetts Minutemen vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Massachusetts Minutemen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Nebraska Cornhuskers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+132.8%+$26.57
Yale Bulldogs vs. Brown Bearsbacked Yale Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Howard Bison vs. South Carolina State Bulldogsbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+29.9%+$29.87
Tennessee State Tigers vs. Little Rock Trojansbacked Tennessee State Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.7%+$50
Rhode Island Rams vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+30.9%+$30.9
Boston College Eagles vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jacketsbacked Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+32.5%+$32.5
Dayton Flyers vs. Loyola Chicago Ramblersbacked Loyola Chicago Ramblers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawksbacked South Dakota State Jackrabbits · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Western Illinois Leathernecks vs. UT Martin Skyhawksbacked Western Illinois Leathernecks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.81
Chattanooga Mocs vs. UNCG Spartansbacked Chattanooga Mocs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$177.6
Samford Bulldogs vs. VMI Keydetsbacked Samford Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1392.3%12 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.23per pick69cpaid+35%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brisbane International: Marie Bouzkova vs Paula Badosabacked Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+96.1%+$19.22
Brisbane International: Karolina Muchova vs Ajla Tomljanovicbacked Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Laslo Djere vs Marcos Gironbacked Giron · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$13.9
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Michael Mmohbacked Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Jesper de Jong vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Brisbane International: Rinky Hijikata vs Adam Waltonbacked Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+81.8%+$16.36
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Coleman Wong vs Mariano Navonebacked Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Hong Kong Tennis Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Valentin Royerbacked Etcheverry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+40.8%+$8.17
ASB Classic: Sloane Stephens vs Renata Zarazuabacked Zarazua · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+25%+$5
Brisbane International, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gastonbacked Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$70.27
ASB Classic, Qualification: Laura Pigossi vs Lilli Taggerbacked Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+28.3%+$33.97
Brisbane International, Qualification: Shuai Zhang vs Fiona Ferrobacked Zhang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+27.3%+$10.94
Brisbane International, Qualification: Rebecca Sramkova vs Lizette Cabrerabacked Sramkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$33.33
All 13 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will FC Porto win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+48.4%+$242.23
Will Moreirense FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Will SC Braga win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$141
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25.8%+$51.52
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+27.5%+$60.43
Will Celtic FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+147.9%+$29.59
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$108.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-39.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avatar 4 greenlit by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.04
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$420
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+46.1%+$8.58
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+33.5%+$26.8
Will Murray die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+28.3%+$22.66
Will Scott Clarke die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+27%+$26.96
Will Eight die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+28.5%+$56.92
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?backed Avatar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+45%+$233.89
Will Sevilla FC vs. Levante UD end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Real Valladolid CF vs. Real Racing Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will Elche CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will CA Osasuna vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+284.6%+$37
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol B win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick67cpaid-44.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-48.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+141%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Navy vs. Cincinnatibacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Michigan vs. Texasbacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+38.9%+$38.89
Arizona State vs. Dukebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$418Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$418.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+177.8%+$19.56
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$140
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$80
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $480–500 in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+87.9%+$35.15
Will Meta (META) close above $660 end of December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+43.8%+$13.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+100.1%+$300.16
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+88.7%+$9.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Dec 22, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+53.7%+$161.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+37.1%+$109.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.7%+$67.48
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.