TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Howard Bison vs. South Carolina State Bulldogs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South Carolina State Bulldogsof Howard Bison, South Carolina State Bulldogs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,989

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x611a…e63ebacked Howard Bison4c2,100$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843810.5%4 W · 34 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Howard Bison16c2,041$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.511,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked South Carolina State Bulldogs59c1,115$654 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.815,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe02f…669fbacked Howard Bison8c799.99$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678814.8%13 W · 75 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…f17abacked Howard Bison4c639.12$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.471608.1%13 W · 147 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-42.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed South Carolina State Bulldogs66c519.76$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.362,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Howard Bison27c450.17$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.8942327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed South Carolina State Bulldogs64c341.22$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.223,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed South Carolina State Bulldogs34c327.07$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.582,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed South Carolina State Bulldogs80c326.39$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8436845.7%168 W · 200 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Howard Bison9c237.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3119237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed Howard Bison76c184.5$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14017544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Howard Bison55c135$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.61,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6467…7cadbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871450%7 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Howard Bison69c117.01$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.463,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Howard Bison16c98.68$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.679412.8%12 W · 82 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-44.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…3f6bbacked Howard Bison26c79.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed South Carolina State Bulldogs62c76.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4612354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Howard Bison44c73.88$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.231,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x23d4…5607backed Howard Bison46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258737.9%33 W · 54 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Howard Bison30c50.37$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.091,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Howard Bison41c49.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023544.7%105 W · 130 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f19…325ebacked South Carolina State Bulldogs63c49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.041540%6 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa134…3ba2backed Howard Bison39c30.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4add…8f36backed South Carolina State Bulldogs79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.254168.3%28 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14dc…ffa1backed South Carolina State Bulldogs61c17.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.